Amid escalating US-Iran tensions in the ongoing conflict, including Strait of Hormuz disruptions and Israeli strikes, diplomatic efforts for a high-level meeting have stalled despite US pushes. Pakistan and Qatar mediation attempts faltered last week, with Tehran rejecting terms, denying direct talks, and deeming Washington’s 15-point peace plan unrealistic, while expressing deep suspicions. President Trump’s envoys, including Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner, voiced hope for meetings as recently as late March, suspending some strikes, but Iran remains skeptical per US intelligence. No confirmed bilateral summit has occurred; traders monitor third-party brokerage and military de-escalation signals ahead of potential deadlines.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by...?
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by...?
$1,335,778 Vol.
Mar 31, 2026
April 10
3%
April 30
19%
June 30
55%
$1,335,778 Vol.
April 10
$101,123 Vol.
3%
April 30
$199,807 Vol.
19%
June 30
$49,836 Vol.
55%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.Amid escalating US-Iran tensions in the ongoing conflict, including Strait of Hormuz disruptions and Israeli strikes, diplomatic efforts for a high-level meeting have stalled despite US pushes. Pakistan and Qatar mediation attempts faltered last week, with Tehran rejecting terms, denying direct talks, and deeming Washington’s 15-point peace plan unrealistic, while expressing deep suspicions. President Trump’s envoys, including Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner, voiced hope for meetings as recently as late March, suspending some strikes, but Iran remains skeptical per US intelligence. No confirmed bilateral summit has occurred; traders monitor third-party brokerage and military de-escalation signals ahead of potential deadlines.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: Feb 27, 2026, 3:00 PM ET
Volume
$1,335,778End Date
Mar 31, 2026Market Opened
Feb 27, 2026, 3:00 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.Amid escalating US-Iran tensions in the ongoing conflict, including Strait of Hormuz disruptions and Israeli strikes, diplomatic efforts for a high-level meeting have stalled despite US pushes. Pakistan and Qatar mediation attempts faltered last week, with Tehran rejecting terms, denying direct talks, and deeming Washington’s 15-point peace plan unrealistic, while expressing deep suspicions. President Trump’s envoys, including Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner, voiced hope for meetings as recently as late March, suspending some strikes, but Iran remains skeptical per US intelligence. No confirmed bilateral summit has occurred; traders monitor third-party brokerage and military de-escalation signals ahead of potential deadlines.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$1,335,778End Date
Mar 31, 2026Market Opened
Feb 27, 2026, 3:00 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Amid escalating US-Iran tensions in the ongoing conflict, including Strait of Hormuz disruptions and Israeli strikes, diplomatic efforts for a high-level meeting have stalled despite US pushes. Pakistan and Qatar mediation attempts faltered last week, with Tehran rejecting terms, denying direct talks, and deeming Washington’s 15-point peace plan unrealistic, while expressing deep suspicions. President Trump’s envoys, including Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner, voiced hope for meetings as recently as late March, suspending some strikes, but Iran remains skeptical per US intelligence. No confirmed bilateral summit has occurred; traders monitor third-party brokerage and military de-escalation signals ahead of potential deadlines.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions