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World·Ukraine

Ukraine election called by...?

Market icon
World·Ukraine

Ukraine election called by...?

$1,461,885 Vol.

Dec 31, 2025
Polymarket

$1,461,885 Vol.

Polymarket
Market icon

June 30, 2026

$210,160 Vol.

7%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Ukrainian presidential election is scheduled by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market is about whether a date for the next Ukrainian election is announced between February 14, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Whether the election is supposed to take place during this timeframe or later will have no effect on the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Ukrainian presidential election is scheduled in 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market is about whether a date for the next Ukrainian election is announced between February 14 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Whether the election is supposed to take place in 2025 or later will have no effect on the resolution to this market. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Government of Ukraine however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Ukrainian presidential election is scheduled by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market is about whether a date for the next Ukrainian election is announced between February 14, 2025, and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Whether the election is supposed to take place during this timeframe or later will have no effect on the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Ukraine's ongoing martial law, imposed since Russia's full-scale invasion in February 2022, constitutionally prohibits presidential and parliamentary elections, extending President Volodymyr Zelenskyy's term indefinitely until lifted. In mid-March 2026, the Central Election Commission ruled out any 2026 vote, stating a fair election requires at least six months post-ceasefire for preparations amid wartime risks like disrupted voting for refugees and frontline disruptions. This defies U.S. President Donald Trump's pressure to tie elections to peace negotiations with Russia. Traders weigh ceasefire prospects, parliamentary votes to amend laws, and diplomatic developments, with no snap election scheduled despite external calls.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Ukrainian presidential election is scheduled by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market is about whether a date for the next Ukrainian election is announced between February 14, 2025, and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Whether the election is supposed to take place during this timeframe or later will have no effect on the resolution of this market.

The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,461,885
End Date
Dec 31, 2025
Market Opened
Dec 1, 2025, 7:38 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Ukrainian presidential election is scheduled by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market is about whether a date for the next Ukrainian election is announced between February 14, 2025, and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Whether the election is supposed to take place during this timeframe or later will have no effect on the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Ukrainian presidential election is scheduled by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market is about whether a date for the next Ukrainian election is announced between February 14, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Whether the election is supposed to take place during this timeframe or later will have no effect on the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Ukrainian presidential election is scheduled in 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market is about whether a date for the next Ukrainian election is announced between February 14 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Whether the election is supposed to take place in 2025 or later will have no effect on the resolution to this market. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Government of Ukraine however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Ukrainian presidential election is scheduled by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market is about whether a date for the next Ukrainian election is announced between February 14, 2025, and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Whether the election is supposed to take place during this timeframe or later will have no effect on the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Ukraine's ongoing martial law, imposed since Russia's full-scale invasion in February 2022, constitutionally prohibits presidential and parliamentary elections, extending President Volodymyr Zelenskyy's term indefinitely until lifted. In mid-March 2026, the Central Election Commission ruled out any 2026 vote, stating a fair election requires at least six months post-ceasefire for preparations amid wartime risks like disrupted voting for refugees and frontline disruptions. This defies U.S. President Donald Trump's pressure to tie elections to peace negotiations with Russia. Traders weigh ceasefire prospects, parliamentary votes to amend laws, and diplomatic developments, with no snap election scheduled despite external calls.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Ukrainian presidential election is scheduled by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market is about whether a date for the next Ukrainian election is announced between February 14, 2025, and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Whether the election is supposed to take place during this timeframe or later will have no effect on the resolution of this market.

The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,461,885
End Date
Dec 31, 2025
Market Opened
Dec 1, 2025, 7:38 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Ukrainian presidential election is scheduled by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market is about whether a date for the next Ukrainian election is announced between February 14, 2025, and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Whether the election is supposed to take place during this timeframe or later will have no effect on the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

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Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?

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Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by June 30?

5%
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Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027?

14%

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Ukraine election called by...?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 3 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "June 30, 2026" at 7%, followed by "December 31, 2025" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 7¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 7% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Ukraine election called by...?" has generated $1.5 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 14, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Ukraine election called by...?," browse the 3 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

This is a wide-open market. The current leader for "Ukraine election called by...?" is "June 30, 2026" at just 7%, with "December 31, 2025" close behind at 0%. With no outcome commanding a strong majority, traders see this as highly uncertain, which can present unique trading opportunities. These odds update in real-time, so bookmark this page to watch how the probabilities evolve.

The resolution rules for "Ukraine election called by...?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.