Trader consensus heavily favors the Republican Party at 92.5% implied probability for Tennessee's 8th Congressional District House seat, driven by incumbent David Kustoff's unopposed position in the August 6 Republican primary, dominant fundraising with over $2.8 million cash on hand as of late March, and the district's strong R+21 Cook Partisan Voter Index. Recent candidate filing deadlines on March 10 confirmed weak Democratic primary challengers Dewey Bryan and Leonard Perkins, alongside minor independents lacking resources. Cook Political Report rates it Solid Republican, reflecting Kustoff's consistent reelection margins. Scenarios to challenge this include a primary upset, major scandal, or national Democratic midterm wave shifting turnout in this West Tennessee battleground.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedTN-08 House Election Winner
TN-08 House Election Winner
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
93%
Democratic Party
8%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$6,566 Vol.
93%
Democratic Party
$827 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus heavily favors the Republican Party at 92.5% implied probability for Tennessee's 8th Congressional District House seat, driven by incumbent David Kustoff's unopposed position in the August 6 Republican primary, dominant fundraising with over $2.8 million cash on hand as of late March, and the district's strong R+21 Cook Partisan Voter Index. Recent candidate filing deadlines on March 10 confirmed weak Democratic primary challengers Dewey Bryan and Leonard Perkins, alongside minor independents lacking resources. Cook Political Report rates it Solid Republican, reflecting Kustoff's consistent reelection margins. Scenarios to challenge this include a primary upset, major scandal, or national Democratic midterm wave shifting turnout in this West Tennessee battleground.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$7,393End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus heavily favors the Republican Party at 92.5% implied probability for Tennessee's 8th Congressional District House seat, driven by incumbent David Kustoff's unopposed position in the August 6 Republican primary, dominant fundraising with over $2.8 million cash on hand as of late March, and the district's strong R+21 Cook Partisan Voter Index. Recent candidate filing deadlines on March 10 confirmed weak Democratic primary challengers Dewey Bryan and Leonard Perkins, alongside minor independents lacking resources. Cook Political Report rates it Solid Republican, reflecting Kustoff's consistent reelection margins. Scenarios to challenge this include a primary upset, major scandal, or national Democratic midterm wave shifting turnout in this West Tennessee battleground.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$7,393End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors the Republican Party at 92.5% implied probability for Tennessee's 8th Congressional District House seat, driven by incumbent David Kustoff's unopposed position in the August 6 Republican primary, dominant fundraising with over $2.8 million cash on hand as of late March, and the district's strong R+21 Cook Partisan Voter Index. Recent candidate filing deadlines on March 10 confirmed weak Democratic primary challengers Dewey Bryan and Leonard Perkins, alongside minor independents lacking resources. Cook Political Report rates it Solid Republican, reflecting Kustoff's consistent reelection margins. Scenarios to challenge this include a primary upset, major scandal, or national Democratic midterm wave shifting turnout in this West Tennessee battleground.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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