Incumbent Republican Tim Burchett seeks reelection in Tennessee’s 2nd congressional district, a seat long rated solid or safe Republican with a partisan voting index of R+17. Recent mid-decade redistricting passed in May 2026 further strengthened the district’s Republican tilt ahead of the August 6 primaries and November 3 general election. Burchett has secured at least 65 percent in prior cycles with no competitive general-election challenge, while the sole notable Democratic contender, Michaela Barnett, faces an uphill primary and limited fundraising. Trader consensus at 93 percent for the Republican nominee reflects these structural advantages, including incumbency and consistent voter patterns. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen primary upset, major scandal, or sudden health event that alters the November ballot.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedTN-02 House Election Winner
TN-02 House Election Winner
$19,944 Vol.
$19,944 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
93%
Democratic Party
7%
$19,944 Vol.
$19,944 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$16,930 Vol.
93%
Democratic Party
$3,014 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Tim Burchett seeks reelection in Tennessee’s 2nd congressional district, a seat long rated solid or safe Republican with a partisan voting index of R+17. Recent mid-decade redistricting passed in May 2026 further strengthened the district’s Republican tilt ahead of the August 6 primaries and November 3 general election. Burchett has secured at least 65 percent in prior cycles with no competitive general-election challenge, while the sole notable Democratic contender, Michaela Barnett, faces an uphill primary and limited fundraising. Trader consensus at 93 percent for the Republican nominee reflects these structural advantages, including incumbency and consistent voter patterns. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen primary upset, major scandal, or sudden health event that alters the November ballot.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$19,944End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Tim Burchett seeks reelection in Tennessee’s 2nd congressional district, a seat long rated solid or safe Republican with a partisan voting index of R+17. Recent mid-decade redistricting passed in May 2026 further strengthened the district’s Republican tilt ahead of the August 6 primaries and November 3 general election. Burchett has secured at least 65 percent in prior cycles with no competitive general-election challenge, while the sole notable Democratic contender, Michaela Barnett, faces an uphill primary and limited fundraising. Trader consensus at 93 percent for the Republican nominee reflects these structural advantages, including incumbency and consistent voter patterns. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen primary upset, major scandal, or sudden health event that alters the November ballot.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$19,944End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Tim Burchett seeks reelection in Tennessee’s 2nd congressional district, a seat long rated solid or safe Republican with a partisan voting index of R+17. Recent mid-decade redistricting passed in May 2026 further strengthened the district’s Republican tilt ahead of the August 6 primaries and November 3 general election. Burchett has secured at least 65 percent in prior cycles with no competitive general-election challenge, while the sole notable Democratic contender, Michaela Barnett, faces an uphill primary and limited fundraising. Trader consensus at 93 percent for the Republican nominee reflects these structural advantages, including incumbency and consistent voter patterns. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen primary upset, major scandal, or sudden health event that alters the November ballot.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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