Tennessee’s 4th Congressional District maintains a strong Republican tilt even after mid-decade redistricting that added a portion of Nashville, with analysts rating the seat Solid or Safe Republican and simulated 2024 presidential margins showing a roughly 24-point GOP advantage. Incumbent Scott DesJarlais secured his party’s nomination in the August 6 primary with about two-thirds of the vote, while Democrat Victoria Broderick advanced from a crowded field to face him in their 2024 rematch. DesJarlais holds a substantial fundraising edge and benefits from the district’s consistent partisan lean and lack of competitive public polling. Forecasters project a double-digit Republican margin based on fundamentals. Late developments such as a major scandal or an unusually strong national Democratic environment could narrow the gap, though current indicators show limited pathways for an upset before the November 3 general election.