Bennie Thompson’s decisive victory in the March 2026 Democratic primary for Mississippi’s 2nd congressional district, where he captured roughly 86 percent of the vote against two challengers, reinforces the party’s strong position. The district’s Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+11 and consistent Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic ratings from forecasters reflect its majority-Black electorate and historical voting patterns that have favored Democratic nominees by wide margins in recent cycles. Ron Eller’s narrow Republican primary win sets up the general-election matchup, but the seat’s structural Democratic advantage and lack of competitive polling shifts continue to underpin trader consensus around an 85 percent probability for the Democratic nominee in the November 2026 contest.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоMS-02 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
MS-02 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
$24,554 Объем
$24,554 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
86%
Республиканская партия
12%
$24,554 Объем
$24,554 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
$12,785 Объем
86%
Республиканская партия
$11,768 Объем
12%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Bennie Thompson’s decisive victory in the March 2026 Democratic primary for Mississippi’s 2nd congressional district, where he captured roughly 86 percent of the vote against two challengers, reinforces the party’s strong position. The district’s Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+11 and consistent Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic ratings from forecasters reflect its majority-Black electorate and historical voting patterns that have favored Democratic nominees by wide margins in recent cycles. Ron Eller’s narrow Republican primary win sets up the general-election matchup, but the seat’s structural Democratic advantage and lack of competitive polling shifts continue to underpin trader consensus around an 85 percent probability for the Democratic nominee in the November 2026 contest.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Объем
$24,554Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Bennie Thompson’s decisive victory in the March 2026 Democratic primary for Mississippi’s 2nd congressional district, where he captured roughly 86 percent of the vote against two challengers, reinforces the party’s strong position. The district’s Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+11 and consistent Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic ratings from forecasters reflect its majority-Black electorate and historical voting patterns that have favored Democratic nominees by wide margins in recent cycles. Ron Eller’s narrow Republican primary win sets up the general-election matchup, but the seat’s structural Democratic advantage and lack of competitive polling shifts continue to underpin trader consensus around an 85 percent probability for the Democratic nominee in the November 2026 contest.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$24,554Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Bennie Thompson’s decisive victory in the March 2026 Democratic primary for Mississippi’s 2nd congressional district, where he captured roughly 86 percent of the vote against two challengers, reinforces the party’s strong position. The district’s Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+11 and consistent Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic ratings from forecasters reflect its majority-Black electorate and historical voting patterns that have favored Democratic nominees by wide margins in recent cycles. Ron Eller’s narrow Republican primary win sets up the general-election matchup, but the seat’s structural Democratic advantage and lack of competitive polling shifts continue to underpin trader consensus around an 85 percent probability for the Democratic nominee in the November 2026 contest.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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