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Politics·Global Elections

Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election Winner

Market icon
Politics·Global Elections

Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election Winner

AfD 89%

CDU 9.4%

SPD <1%

The Left <1%

Polymarket

$518,833 Vol.

AfD 89%

CDU 9.4%

SPD <1%

The Left <1%

Polymarket

$518,833 Vol.

Market icon

AfD

$5,535 Vol.

89%

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CDU

$462,333 Vol.

9%

Market icon

SPD

$36,646 Vol.

1%

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The Left

$2,332 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

BSW

$2,832 Vol.

<1%

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FDP

$6,258 Vol.

<1%

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The Greens

$2,896 Vol.

<1%

Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election. If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition. This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).Trader consensus on Polymarket prices AfD at 88.5% implied probability to secure the most seats as winner of Sachsen-Anhalt's Landtag election on September 6, 2026, driven by consistent polling averages placing AfD at 38% support—13 points ahead of CDU at 25%—under the state's proportional representation system. The latest INSA survey (March 17-24, published March 25) reaffirmed this gap, with AfD dipping slightly to 38%, Die Linke rising to 13%, SPD at 6%, BSW 5%, Greens 4%, and FDP 3%, amid stable trends since late 2025. CDU's new Ministerpräsident Sven Schulze, elected January 28, has not reversed AfD's eastern Germany stronghold, though internal AfD concerns and potential scandals could narrow the lead before polling day.

Trader consensus on Polymarket prices AfD at 88.5% implied probability to secure the most seats as winner of Sachsen-Anhalt's Landtag election on September 6, 2026, driven by consistent polling averages placing AfD at 38% support—13 points ahead of CDU at 25%—under the state's proportional representation system. The latest INSA survey (March 17-24, published March 25) reaffirmed this gap, with AfD dipping slightly to 38%, Die Linke rising to 13%, SPD at 6%, BSW 5%, Greens 4%, and FDP 3%, amid stable trends since late 2025. CDU's new Ministerpräsident Sven Schulze, elected January 28, has not reversed AfD's eastern Germany stronghold, though internal AfD concerns and potential scandals could narrow the lead before polling day.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election. If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition. This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).Trader consensus on Polymarket prices AfD at 88.5% implied probability to secure the most seats as winner of Sachsen-Anhalt's Landtag election on September 6, 2026, driven by consistent polling averages placing AfD at 38% support—13 points ahead of CDU at 25%—under the state's proportional representation system. The latest INSA survey (March 17-24, published March 25) reaffirmed this gap, with AfD dipping slightly to 38%, Die Linke rising to 13%, SPD at 6%, BSW 5%, Greens 4%, and FDP 3%, amid stable trends since late 2025. CDU's new Ministerpräsident Sven Schulze, elected January 28, has not reversed AfD's eastern Germany stronghold, though internal AfD concerns and potential scandals could narrow the lead before polling day.

Trader consensus on Polymarket prices AfD at 88.5% implied probability to secure the most seats as winner of Sachsen-Anhalt's Landtag election on September 6, 2026, driven by consistent polling averages placing AfD at 38% support—13 points ahead of CDU at 25%—under the state's proportional representation system. The latest INSA survey (March 17-24, published March 25) reaffirmed this gap, with AfD dipping slightly to 38%, Die Linke rising to 13%, SPD at 6%, BSW 5%, Greens 4%, and FDP 3%, amid stable trends since late 2025. CDU's new Ministerpräsident Sven Schulze, elected January 28, has not reversed AfD's eastern Germany stronghold, though internal AfD concerns and potential scandals could narrow the lead before polling day.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "AfD" at 89%, followed by "CDU" at 9%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 89¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 89% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election Winner" has generated $518.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 11, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election Winner," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election Winner" is "AfD" at 89%, meaning the market assigns a 89% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "CDU" at 9%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.