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Politics·Primaries

Oklahoma Governor Republican Primary Winner

Market icon
Politics·Primaries

Oklahoma Governor Republican Primary Winner

Mike Mazzei 42.6%

Genter Drummond 42%

Charles McCall 9%

Chip Keating 6.3%

Polymarket

$214,283 Vol.

Mike Mazzei 42.6%

Genter Drummond 42%

Charles McCall 9%

Chip Keating 6.3%

Polymarket

$214,283 Vol.

Mike Mazzei

$2,528 Vol.

43%

Genter Drummond

$112,349 Vol.

42%

Charles McCall

$81,482 Vol.

9%

Chip Keating

$2,175 Vol.

6%

Ryan Walters

$5,120 Vol.

1%

Matt Pinnell

$5,995 Vol.

1%

Jake Merrick

$3,228 Vol.

<1%

Leisa Mitchell Haynes

$1,407 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Oklahoma, scheduled to take place on June 16, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Oklahoma Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Oklahoma Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Trader consensus in the Oklahoma Republican gubernatorial primary pits former state Senator Mike Mazzei at 42.8% against Attorney General Gentner Drummond at 41.5%, diverging from February SoonerPoll results where Drummond led 36-13% amid a fragmented field including Charles McCall and Chip Keating. The tight market reflects Mazzei's recent momentum from self-funding millions, strong Tulsa-area support, and emphasis on property tax cuts, offsetting Drummond's name recognition and endorsements like the FOP. Recent forums, including the February 28 state GOP event, and candidates' alignment with President Trump over Governor Stitt have intensified scrutiny without separation. Upcoming debates and ad spending ahead of the June 16 primary could tip the balance via endorsements or voter turnout in key regions.

Trader consensus in the Oklahoma Republican gubernatorial primary pits former state Senator Mike Mazzei at 42.8% against Attorney General Gentner Drummond at 41.5%, diverging from February SoonerPoll results where Drummond led 36-13% amid a fragmented field including Charles McCall and Chip Keating. The tight market reflects Mazzei's recent momentum from self-funding millions, strong Tulsa-area support, and emphasis on property tax cuts, offsetting Drummond's name recognition and endorsements like the FOP. Recent forums, including the February 28 state GOP event, and candidates' alignment with President Trump over Governor Stitt have intensified scrutiny without separation. Upcoming debates and ad spending ahead of the June 16 primary could tip the balance via endorsements or voter turnout in key regions.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Oklahoma, scheduled to take place on June 16, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Oklahoma Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Oklahoma Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Trader consensus in the Oklahoma Republican gubernatorial primary pits former state Senator Mike Mazzei at 42.8% against Attorney General Gentner Drummond at 41.5%, diverging from February SoonerPoll results where Drummond led 36-13% amid a fragmented field including Charles McCall and Chip Keating. The tight market reflects Mazzei's recent momentum from self-funding millions, strong Tulsa-area support, and emphasis on property tax cuts, offsetting Drummond's name recognition and endorsements like the FOP. Recent forums, including the February 28 state GOP event, and candidates' alignment with President Trump over Governor Stitt have intensified scrutiny without separation. Upcoming debates and ad spending ahead of the June 16 primary could tip the balance via endorsements or voter turnout in key regions.

Trader consensus in the Oklahoma Republican gubernatorial primary pits former state Senator Mike Mazzei at 42.8% against Attorney General Gentner Drummond at 41.5%, diverging from February SoonerPoll results where Drummond led 36-13% amid a fragmented field including Charles McCall and Chip Keating. The tight market reflects Mazzei's recent momentum from self-funding millions, strong Tulsa-area support, and emphasis on property tax cuts, offsetting Drummond's name recognition and endorsements like the FOP. Recent forums, including the February 28 state GOP event, and candidates' alignment with President Trump over Governor Stitt have intensified scrutiny without separation. Upcoming debates and ad spending ahead of the June 16 primary could tip the balance via endorsements or voter turnout in key regions.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Oklahoma Governor Republican Primary Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 8 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Mike Mazzei" at 43%, followed by "Genter Drummond" at 42%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 43¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 43% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Oklahoma Governor Republican Primary Winner" has generated $214.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 4, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Oklahoma Governor Republican Primary Winner," browse the 8 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Oklahoma Governor Republican Primary Winner" is "Mike Mazzei" at 43%, meaning the market assigns a 43% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Genter Drummond" at 42%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Oklahoma Governor Republican Primary Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.