Trader consensus prices 3 seats for the People Power Party (PPP) at 39% and 2 seats at 37.5% in South Korea's National Assembly by-elections on June 3, 2026, alongside local elections, reflecting the party's dismal 19% approval rating versus the Democratic Party of Korea's (DPK) 46% in a recent Gallup Korea poll. PPP internal chaos—including nomination cutoffs sparking backlash, candidate shortages, and leadership disputes—has eroded support, limiting expectations to a handful out of at least four confirmed contested seats, with more possible if incumbents pursue local races. The razor-thin spread underscores uncertainty in battlegrounds like Gyeonggi Ansan-gap and Incheon Yeonsu-gap, where DPK nomination fights signal competitiveness; upcoming primaries and candidate announcements could tip balances toward separation.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated# of seats won by PPP in South Korea by-elections?
# of seats won by PPP in South Korea by-elections?
3 39%
2 38%
5 12.6%
0 9%
$19,778 Vol.
$19,778 Vol.
Jun 3, 2026
0
9%
1
7%
2
38%
3
39%
4
6%
5
13%
6+
1%
3 39%
2 38%
5 12.6%
0 9%
$19,778 Vol.
$19,778 Vol.
Jun 3, 2026
0
$1,806 Vol.
9%
1
$2,068 Vol.
7%
2
$9,405 Vol.
38%
3
$1,322 Vol.
39%
4
$1,831 Vol.
6%
5
$893 Vol.
13%
6+
$2,453 Vol.
1%
At least four South Korean parliamentary seats will be contested in by-elections on June 3, 2026, held alongside the nationwide local elections taking place on the same day. Re-elections are equivalent to by-elections for the purposes of this market.
This market will resolve according to the number of National Assembly seats won by the People Power Party (PP) in parliamentary by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026.
Any seat won by the People Power Party in these elections will count, regardless of the party that controlled the relevant seat prior to these elections. Seats uncontested during the June 3 election will not have any impact on the resolution of this market.
If the results of these elections are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in these elections, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (http://nec.go.kr/site/nec/main.do).
Note: this market includes any National Assembly seats contested in by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026, not just elections which are scheduled as of this market’s creation.Trader consensus prices 3 seats for the People Power Party (PPP) at 39% and 2 seats at 37.5% in South Korea's National Assembly by-elections on June 3, 2026, alongside local elections, reflecting the party's dismal 19% approval rating versus the Democratic Party of Korea's (DPK) 46% in a recent Gallup Korea poll. PPP internal chaos—including nomination cutoffs sparking backlash, candidate shortages, and leadership disputes—has eroded support, limiting expectations to a handful out of at least four confirmed contested seats, with more possible if incumbents pursue local races. The razor-thin spread underscores uncertainty in battlegrounds like Gyeonggi Ansan-gap and Incheon Yeonsu-gap, where DPK nomination fights signal competitiveness; upcoming primaries and candidate announcements could tip balances toward separation.
At least four South Korean parliamentary seats will be contested in by-elections on June 3, 2026, held alongside the nationwide local elections taking place on the same day. Re-elections are equivalent to by-elections for the purposes of this market.
This market will resolve according to the number of National Assembly seats won by the People Power Party (PP) in parliamentary by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026.
Any seat won by the People Power Party in these elections will count, regardless of the party that controlled the relevant seat prior to these elections. Seats uncontested during the June 3 election will not have any impact on the resolution of this market.
If the results of these elections are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in these elections, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (http://nec.go.kr/site/nec/main.do).
Note: this market includes any National Assembly seats contested in by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026, not just elections which are scheduled as of this market’s creation.
This market will resolve according to the number of National Assembly seats won by the People Power Party (PP) in parliamentary by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026.
Any seat won by the People Power Party in these elections will count, regardless of the party that controlled the relevant seat prior to these elections. Seats uncontested during the June 3 election will not have any impact on the resolution of this market.
If the results of these elections are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in these elections, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (http://nec.go.kr/site/nec/main.do).
Note: this market includes any National Assembly seats contested in by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026, not just elections which are scheduled as of this market’s creation.
Market Opened: Feb 12, 2026, 4:14 PM ET
Volume
$19,778End Date
Jun 3, 2026Market Opened
Feb 12, 2026, 4:14 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...At least four South Korean parliamentary seats will be contested in by-elections on June 3, 2026, held alongside the nationwide local elections taking place on the same day. Re-elections are equivalent to by-elections for the purposes of this market.
This market will resolve according to the number of National Assembly seats won by the People Power Party (PP) in parliamentary by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026.
Any seat won by the People Power Party in these elections will count, regardless of the party that controlled the relevant seat prior to these elections. Seats uncontested during the June 3 election will not have any impact on the resolution of this market.
If the results of these elections are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in these elections, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (http://nec.go.kr/site/nec/main.do).
Note: this market includes any National Assembly seats contested in by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026, not just elections which are scheduled as of this market’s creation.Trader consensus prices 3 seats for the People Power Party (PPP) at 39% and 2 seats at 37.5% in South Korea's National Assembly by-elections on June 3, 2026, alongside local elections, reflecting the party's dismal 19% approval rating versus the Democratic Party of Korea's (DPK) 46% in a recent Gallup Korea poll. PPP internal chaos—including nomination cutoffs sparking backlash, candidate shortages, and leadership disputes—has eroded support, limiting expectations to a handful out of at least four confirmed contested seats, with more possible if incumbents pursue local races. The razor-thin spread underscores uncertainty in battlegrounds like Gyeonggi Ansan-gap and Incheon Yeonsu-gap, where DPK nomination fights signal competitiveness; upcoming primaries and candidate announcements could tip balances toward separation.
At least four South Korean parliamentary seats will be contested in by-elections on June 3, 2026, held alongside the nationwide local elections taking place on the same day. Re-elections are equivalent to by-elections for the purposes of this market.
This market will resolve according to the number of National Assembly seats won by the People Power Party (PP) in parliamentary by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026.
Any seat won by the People Power Party in these elections will count, regardless of the party that controlled the relevant seat prior to these elections. Seats uncontested during the June 3 election will not have any impact on the resolution of this market.
If the results of these elections are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in these elections, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (http://nec.go.kr/site/nec/main.do).
Note: this market includes any National Assembly seats contested in by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026, not just elections which are scheduled as of this market’s creation.
This market will resolve according to the number of National Assembly seats won by the People Power Party (PP) in parliamentary by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026.
Any seat won by the People Power Party in these elections will count, regardless of the party that controlled the relevant seat prior to these elections. Seats uncontested during the June 3 election will not have any impact on the resolution of this market.
If the results of these elections are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in these elections, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (http://nec.go.kr/site/nec/main.do).
Note: this market includes any National Assembly seats contested in by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026, not just elections which are scheduled as of this market’s creation.
Volume
$19,778End Date
Jun 3, 2026Market Opened
Feb 12, 2026, 4:14 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus prices 3 seats for the People Power Party (PPP) at 39% and 2 seats at 37.5% in South Korea's National Assembly by-elections on June 3, 2026, alongside local elections, reflecting the party's dismal 19% approval rating versus the Democratic Party of Korea's (DPK) 46% in a recent Gallup Korea poll. PPP internal chaos—including nomination cutoffs sparking backlash, candidate shortages, and leadership disputes—has eroded support, limiting expectations to a handful out of at least four confirmed contested seats, with more possible if incumbents pursue local races. The razor-thin spread underscores uncertainty in battlegrounds like Gyeonggi Ansan-gap and Incheon Yeonsu-gap, where DPK nomination fights signal competitiveness; upcoming primaries and candidate announcements could tip balances toward separation.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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