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Odds of Newsom Dem Pres Nominee by December 31?

NEW

OUTCOME

% CHANCE

Rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the “Yes” option for 'Gavin Newsom' in the "Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028" market (https://polymarket.com/event/democratic-presidential-nominee-2028?tid=1764680585562) is priced over the listed value for a majority of minutes during any four-hour period ending by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET or earlier. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

A tie in the number of minutes will resolve to "No".

If the underlying market resolves prior to this market, this market will immediately resolve in accordance with the underlying market’s final outcome.

The resolution source will be the underlying minute-level price data for the “Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028” market, which can be viewed using the bar chart on https://derivative.polymarket.com/index/odds-of-newsom-dem-pres-nominee-over-40-by-december-31 or through the “Resolution” tab with the time set to show the four-hour window. Both interfaces display the same underlying data.

Note: This market will resolve according to the price scoring methodology of derivative.polymarket.com.
Volume
$3,973
End Date
Dec 31, 2025
Created At
Dec 2, 2025, 6:17 PM
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NEW
Market icon

Odds of Newsom Dem Pres Nominee by December 31?

OUTCOME

% CHANCE

↑ 40%

$3,548 Vol.

31%

↑ 45%

$9 Vol.

32%

↑ 50%

$416 Vol.

2%

About

Volume
$3,973
End Date
Dec 31, 2025
Created At
Dec 2, 2025, 6:17 PM