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Elections·Midterms

NJ-12 Democratic Primary Winner

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Elections·Midterms

NJ-12 Democratic Primary Winner

Brad Cohen 34%

Verlina Reynolds-Jackson 25%

Susan Altman 17%

Adam Hamawy 6%

Polymarket

$16,013 Vol.

Brad Cohen 34%

Verlina Reynolds-Jackson 25%

Susan Altman 17%

Adam Hamawy 6%

Polymarket

$16,013 Vol.

Brad Cohen

$0 Vol.

34%

Verlina Reynolds-Jackson

$0 Vol.

29%

Susan Altman

$14,124 Vol.

19%

Adam Hamawy

$0 Vol.

6%

Matthew Adams

$0 Vol.

5%

Adrian Mapp

$0 Vol.

4%

Elijah Dixon

$0 Vol.

3%

Kyle Little

$0 Vol.

2%

Raymond Heck

$0 Vol.

2%

Michael Anderson

$1,889 Vol.

1%

Tennille R. McCoy

$0 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NJ-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.In New Jersey's 12th Congressional District Democratic primary on June 2, trader consensus reflects a tight contest for retiring Rep. Bonnie Watson Coleman's open seat, with East Brunswick Mayor Brad Cohen holding a slim edge at 34% implied probability over Assemblywoman Verlina Reynolds-Jackson (30.5%) and Assemblywoman Susan Altman (22.5%) in a crowded field of over a dozen candidates. Recent county Democratic organization endorsements—Middlesex decisively backing Cohen last week, Mercer strongly supporting Reynolds-Jackson in February, Princeton's community Democrats endorsing Altman, and others splitting to Somerset's Shanel Robinson and Union's Adrian Mapp—have fragmented the party line, preventing any frontrunner dominance. Absent public polls, separation could come from additional endorsements like Watson Coleman's, upcoming candidate forums, FEC fundraising reports, or early voter outreach in key counties.

In New Jersey's 12th Congressional District Democratic primary on June 2, trader consensus reflects a tight contest for retiring Rep. Bonnie Watson Coleman's open seat, with East Brunswick Mayor Brad Cohen holding a slim edge at 34% implied probability over Assemblywoman Verlina Reynolds-Jackson (30.5%) and Assemblywoman Susan Altman (22.5%) in a crowded field of over a dozen candidates. Recent county Democratic organization endorsements—Middlesex decisively backing Cohen last week, Mercer strongly supporting Reynolds-Jackson in February, Princeton's community Democrats endorsing Altman, and others splitting to Somerset's Shanel Robinson and Union's Adrian Mapp—have fragmented the party line, preventing any frontrunner dominance. Absent public polls, separation could come from additional endorsements like Watson Coleman's, upcoming candidate forums, FEC fundraising reports, or early voter outreach in key counties.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NJ-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.In New Jersey's 12th Congressional District Democratic primary on June 2, trader consensus reflects a tight contest for retiring Rep. Bonnie Watson Coleman's open seat, with East Brunswick Mayor Brad Cohen holding a slim edge at 34% implied probability over Assemblywoman Verlina Reynolds-Jackson (30.5%) and Assemblywoman Susan Altman (22.5%) in a crowded field of over a dozen candidates. Recent county Democratic organization endorsements—Middlesex decisively backing Cohen last week, Mercer strongly supporting Reynolds-Jackson in February, Princeton's community Democrats endorsing Altman, and others splitting to Somerset's Shanel Robinson and Union's Adrian Mapp—have fragmented the party line, preventing any frontrunner dominance. Absent public polls, separation could come from additional endorsements like Watson Coleman's, upcoming candidate forums, FEC fundraising reports, or early voter outreach in key counties.

In New Jersey's 12th Congressional District Democratic primary on June 2, trader consensus reflects a tight contest for retiring Rep. Bonnie Watson Coleman's open seat, with East Brunswick Mayor Brad Cohen holding a slim edge at 34% implied probability over Assemblywoman Verlina Reynolds-Jackson (30.5%) and Assemblywoman Susan Altman (22.5%) in a crowded field of over a dozen candidates. Recent county Democratic organization endorsements—Middlesex decisively backing Cohen last week, Mercer strongly supporting Reynolds-Jackson in February, Princeton's community Democrats endorsing Altman, and others splitting to Somerset's Shanel Robinson and Union's Adrian Mapp—have fragmented the party line, preventing any frontrunner dominance. Absent public polls, separation could come from additional endorsements like Watson Coleman's, upcoming candidate forums, FEC fundraising reports, or early voter outreach in key counties.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

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Frequently Asked Questions

"NJ-12 Democratic Primary Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Brad Cohen" at 34%, followed by "Verlina Reynolds-Jackson" at 28%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 34¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 34% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "NJ-12 Democratic Primary Winner" has generated $16K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 3, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "NJ-12 Democratic Primary Winner," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "NJ-12 Democratic Primary Winner" is "Brad Cohen" at 34%, meaning the market assigns a 34% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Verlina Reynolds-Jackson" at 28%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "NJ-12 Democratic Primary Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.