Incumbent Mayor Ras Baraka commands 88% trader consensus in the Newark mayoral election set for May 12, driven by his strong incumbency advantage and a fragmented field of minor challengers including Nasheedah Singleton, Debra Salters, and Douglas Davis. His recent State of the City address, delivered days ago, highlighted 12 years of progress on public safety—with homicides at 1950s lows—economic development, housing initiatives, and water infrastructure, reinforcing voter support amid no credible opposition. Analysts note the challengers' lack of resources or visibility since the February filing deadline, positioning Baraka for a likely fourth term, though turnout or late scandals could influence the outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedNewark Mayoral Election
Newark Mayoral Election
Ras Baraka 88%
Nasheedah Singleton 5.3%
Debra Salters 4.4%
Douglas Davis 2.9%
$10,635 Vol.
$10,635 Vol.
Ras Baraka
88%
Nasheedah Singleton
5%
Debra Salters
4%
Douglas Davis
3%
Sheila Montague
2%
Jhamar Youngblood
2%
Noble Milton
1%
Tanisha Garner
1%
Asha Coates-Hamlet
<1%
Louis Shockley
<1%
Ras Baraka 88%
Nasheedah Singleton 5.3%
Debra Salters 4.4%
Douglas Davis 2.9%
$10,635 Vol.
$10,635 Vol.
Ras Baraka
88%
Nasheedah Singleton
5%
Debra Salters
4%
Douglas Davis
3%
Sheila Montague
2%
Jhamar Youngblood
2%
Noble Milton
1%
Tanisha Garner
1%
Asha Coates-Hamlet
<1%
Louis Shockley
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Newark as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Newark.
Market Opened: Mar 10, 2026, 7:39 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Newark as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Newark.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Incumbent Mayor Ras Baraka commands 88% trader consensus in the Newark mayoral election set for May 12, driven by his strong incumbency advantage and a fragmented field of minor challengers including Nasheedah Singleton, Debra Salters, and Douglas Davis. His recent State of the City address, delivered days ago, highlighted 12 years of progress on public safety—with homicides at 1950s lows—economic development, housing initiatives, and water infrastructure, reinforcing voter support amid no credible opposition. Analysts note the challengers' lack of resources or visibility since the February filing deadline, positioning Baraka for a likely fourth term, though turnout or late scandals could influence the outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated



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