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Elections·Primaries

MI-11 Democratic Primary Winner

Market icon
Elections·Primaries

MI-11 Democratic Primary Winner

Jeremy Moss 79%

Andy Levin 9%

Aisha Farooqi 4.5%

Dave Woodward 2.8%

Polymarket
NEW

Jeremy Moss 79%

Andy Levin 9%

Aisha Farooqi 4.5%

Dave Woodward 2.8%

Polymarket
NEW

Jeremy Moss

$1,538 Vol.

79%

Andy Levin

$2,637 Vol.

9%

Aisha Farooqi

$5,459 Vol.

4%

Dave Woodward

$0 Vol.

3%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.State Sen. Jeremy Moss commands 79% trader consensus to win Michigan's 11th Congressional District Democratic primary on August 6, propelled by his campaign's July internal poll showing a 37%-23% lead over former Rep. Andy Levin, top fundraising with $1.4 million raised versus Levin's $900,000, and endorsements from Sen. Gary Peters, EMILY's List, and Reps. Debbie Dingell and Angie Craig. Levin trails at 9.5% buoyed by UAW and progressive labor backing but hampered by weaker polls and momentum. Farmington Hills Mayor Aisha Farooqi (4.5%) and attorney Dave Woodward (2.8%) lag with limited resources in the open seat created by redistricting, as early voting highlights Moss's edge among key voting blocs.

State Sen. Jeremy Moss commands 79% trader consensus to win Michigan's 11th Congressional District Democratic primary on August 6, propelled by his campaign's July internal poll showing a 37%-23% lead over former Rep. Andy Levin, top fundraising with $1.4 million raised versus Levin's $900,000, and endorsements from Sen. Gary Peters, EMILY's List, and Reps. Debbie Dingell and Angie Craig. Levin trails at 9.5% buoyed by UAW and progressive labor backing but hampered by weaker polls and momentum. Farmington Hills Mayor Aisha Farooqi (4.5%) and attorney Dave Woodward (2.8%) lag with limited resources in the open seat created by redistricting, as early voting highlights Moss's edge among key voting blocs.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.State Sen. Jeremy Moss commands 79% trader consensus to win Michigan's 11th Congressional District Democratic primary on August 6, propelled by his campaign's July internal poll showing a 37%-23% lead over former Rep. Andy Levin, top fundraising with $1.4 million raised versus Levin's $900,000, and endorsements from Sen. Gary Peters, EMILY's List, and Reps. Debbie Dingell and Angie Craig. Levin trails at 9.5% buoyed by UAW and progressive labor backing but hampered by weaker polls and momentum. Farmington Hills Mayor Aisha Farooqi (4.5%) and attorney Dave Woodward (2.8%) lag with limited resources in the open seat created by redistricting, as early voting highlights Moss's edge among key voting blocs.

State Sen. Jeremy Moss commands 79% trader consensus to win Michigan's 11th Congressional District Democratic primary on August 6, propelled by his campaign's July internal poll showing a 37%-23% lead over former Rep. Andy Levin, top fundraising with $1.4 million raised versus Levin's $900,000, and endorsements from Sen. Gary Peters, EMILY's List, and Reps. Debbie Dingell and Angie Craig. Levin trails at 9.5% buoyed by UAW and progressive labor backing but hampered by weaker polls and momentum. Farmington Hills Mayor Aisha Farooqi (4.5%) and attorney Dave Woodward (2.8%) lag with limited resources in the open seat created by redistricting, as early voting highlights Moss's edge among key voting blocs.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

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Frequently Asked Questions

"MI-11 Democratic Primary Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 4 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Jeremy Moss" at 79%, followed by "Andy Levin" at 9%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 79¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 79% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"MI-11 Democratic Primary Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Nov 25, 2025. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "MI-11 Democratic Primary Winner," browse the 4 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "MI-11 Democratic Primary Winner" is "Jeremy Moss" at 79%, meaning the market assigns a 79% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Andy Levin" at 9%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "MI-11 Democratic Primary Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.