Trader consensus favors Iowa State Sen. Zach Wahls at 56% implied probability to win the June 2 Democratic U.S. Senate primary over Rep. Josh Turek at 44%, driven by a February NRSC poll showing Wahls leading by 7 points and his higher name recognition from representing one of Iowa's bluest legislative districts. Recent developments include a closely fought Q1 fundraising quarter ending April 16, with Turek edging Wahls by $221 at over $1.1 million each, and Turek securing endorsements from three sitting Democratic senators (Duckworth, Cortez Masto, Hassan) versus Wahls' backing from Sen. Warren. An April 9 forum highlighted clashes over campaign finance, "dark money," and an immigration bill vote, underscoring Turek's electability pitch from defeating Republicans in a red district, keeping the race competitive ahead of the primary.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedZach Wahls 56%
Josh Turek 44%
Chris Henry <1%
Nathan Sage <1%
$13,461 Vol.
$13,461 Vol.
Zach Wahls
56%
Josh Turek
44%
Chris Henry
1%
Nathan Sage
<1%
Zach Wahls 56%
Josh Turek 44%
Chris Henry <1%
Nathan Sage <1%
$13,461 Vol.
$13,461 Vol.
Zach Wahls
56%
Josh Turek
44%
Chris Henry
1%
Nathan Sage
<1%
If no 2026 Iowa Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Iowa Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Market Opened: Nov 13, 2025, 2:11 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Iowa Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Iowa Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus favors Iowa State Sen. Zach Wahls at 56% implied probability to win the June 2 Democratic U.S. Senate primary over Rep. Josh Turek at 44%, driven by a February NRSC poll showing Wahls leading by 7 points and his higher name recognition from representing one of Iowa's bluest legislative districts. Recent developments include a closely fought Q1 fundraising quarter ending April 16, with Turek edging Wahls by $221 at over $1.1 million each, and Turek securing endorsements from three sitting Democratic senators (Duckworth, Cortez Masto, Hassan) versus Wahls' backing from Sen. Warren. An April 9 forum highlighted clashes over campaign finance, "dark money," and an immigration bill vote, underscoring Turek's electability pitch from defeating Republicans in a red district, keeping the race competitive ahead of the primary.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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