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World·South Korea

Incheon Mayoral Election Winner

Market icon
World·South Korea

Incheon Mayoral Election Winner

Park Chan-dae 93%

Yoo Jeong-bok 4.3%

Lee Hak-jae <1%

Yoo Dong-soo <1%

Polymarket

$1,476,329 Vol.

Park Chan-dae 93%

Yoo Jeong-bok 4.3%

Lee Hak-jae <1%

Yoo Dong-soo <1%

Polymarket

$1,476,329 Vol.

Market icon

Park Chan-dae

$118,302 Vol.

93%

Market icon

Yoo Jeong-bok

$1,015,035 Vol.

4%

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Lee Hak-jae

$26,690 Vol.

1%

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Yoo Dong-soo

$61,154 Vol.

1%

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Bae June-young

$15,204 Vol.

<1%

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Chung Il-young

$34,420 Vol.

<1%

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Kim Kyo-heung

$36,938 Vol.

<1%

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Park Nam-choon

$43,654 Vol.

<1%

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Yoon Sang-hyun

$129,345 Vol.

<1%

The Incheon mayoral election is scheduled to take place in Incheon, South Korea on June 3, 2026 to elect the next mayor of Incheon. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins this election. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://www.nec.go.kr/).Park Chan-dae commands 92.5% implied probability as trader consensus for the Incheon mayoral election winner, driven by Democratic Party momentum from their landslide National Assembly victory in April 2024, where they secured a supermajority amid People Power Party setbacks. Recent polls, including Gallup and Realmeter surveys over the past month, consistently show Park leading rivals like Yoo Jeong-bok by 30+ points, bolstered by his local assembly record and DP's dominance in Incheon swing districts. With the June 2026 local elections approaching, no major challengers have closed the gap. Upsets remain possible via late scandals, health issues, or unexpected turnout shifts favoring PPP, though traders price these risks minimally.

Park Chan-dae commands 92.5% implied probability as trader consensus for the Incheon mayoral election winner, driven by Democratic Party momentum from their landslide National Assembly victory in April 2024, where they secured a supermajority amid People Power Party setbacks. Recent polls, including Gallup and Realmeter surveys over the past month, consistently show Park leading rivals like Yoo Jeong-bok by 30+ points, bolstered by his local assembly record and DP's dominance in Incheon swing districts. With the June 2026 local elections approaching, no major challengers have closed the gap. Upsets remain possible via late scandals, health issues, or unexpected turnout shifts favoring PPP, though traders price these risks minimally.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
The Incheon mayoral election is scheduled to take place in Incheon, South Korea on June 3, 2026 to elect the next mayor of Incheon. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins this election. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://www.nec.go.kr/).Park Chan-dae commands 92.5% implied probability as trader consensus for the Incheon mayoral election winner, driven by Democratic Party momentum from their landslide National Assembly victory in April 2024, where they secured a supermajority amid People Power Party setbacks. Recent polls, including Gallup and Realmeter surveys over the past month, consistently show Park leading rivals like Yoo Jeong-bok by 30+ points, bolstered by his local assembly record and DP's dominance in Incheon swing districts. With the June 2026 local elections approaching, no major challengers have closed the gap. Upsets remain possible via late scandals, health issues, or unexpected turnout shifts favoring PPP, though traders price these risks minimally.

Park Chan-dae commands 92.5% implied probability as trader consensus for the Incheon mayoral election winner, driven by Democratic Party momentum from their landslide National Assembly victory in April 2024, where they secured a supermajority amid People Power Party setbacks. Recent polls, including Gallup and Realmeter surveys over the past month, consistently show Park leading rivals like Yoo Jeong-bok by 30+ points, bolstered by his local assembly record and DP's dominance in Incheon swing districts. With the June 2026 local elections approaching, no major challengers have closed the gap. Upsets remain possible via late scandals, health issues, or unexpected turnout shifts favoring PPP, though traders price these risks minimally.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Incheon Mayoral Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 9 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Park Chan-dae" at 93%, followed by "Yoo Jeong-bok" at 4%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 93¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 93% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Incheon Mayoral Election Winner" has generated $1.5 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 17, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Incheon Mayoral Election Winner," browse the 9 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Incheon Mayoral Election Winner" is "Park Chan-dae" at 93%, meaning the market assigns a 93% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Yoo Jeong-bok" at 4%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Incheon Mayoral Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.