Recent polls for Hungary's April 12 parliamentary election show Péter Magyar's TISZA party with vote shares fluctuating between 40% and 58% across late March surveys, averaging 47-49% in the POLITICO Poll of Polls, anchoring trader consensus around the 46-50% band amid pollster divergence—Fidesz-aligned firms like Publicus and Nézőpont report TISZA nearer 40-42%, while independents like Medián (58%) and 21 Kutatóközpont (56% among decided voters) indicate widening leads. This variability, compounded by historical overperformance of incumbent Fidesz in national list votes and undecided voters tilting rural, sustains the tight race. Separation could arise from youth turnout boosting TISZA in urban areas, Fidesz base mobilization via Viktor Orbán's intensified rallies like the March 27 Győr event, or late scandals shifting swing voters before election day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated46-50% 30%
50-54% 24%
54%+ 22%
<42% 12%
$42,719 Vol.
$42,719 Vol.
Apr 12, 2026
<42%
12%
42-46%
11%
46-50%
30%
50-54%
24%
54%+
22%
46-50% 30%
50-54% 24%
54%+ 22%
<42% 12%
$42,719 Vol.
$42,719 Vol.
Apr 12, 2026
<42%
$6,065 Vol.
12%
42-46%
$4,896 Vol.
11%
46-50%
$4,938 Vol.
30%
50-54%
$10,017 Vol.
24%
54%+
$16,804 Vol.
22%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026. Hungary uses a mixed electoral system in which most voters cast two votes: one for a candidate in a single-member constituency and one for a national party list.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of all valid national party list votes won by TISZA in this election.
This market will resolve solely based on national party list votes cast in this election. Votes cast for single-member constituencies will not be considered.
If the percentage of all valid national party list votes won by TISZA falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official election results reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu). However, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also suffice.Recent polls for Hungary's April 12 parliamentary election show Péter Magyar's TISZA party with vote shares fluctuating between 40% and 58% across late March surveys, averaging 47-49% in the POLITICO Poll of Polls, anchoring trader consensus around the 46-50% band amid pollster divergence—Fidesz-aligned firms like Publicus and Nézőpont report TISZA nearer 40-42%, while independents like Medián (58%) and 21 Kutatóközpont (56% among decided voters) indicate widening leads. This variability, compounded by historical overperformance of incumbent Fidesz in national list votes and undecided voters tilting rural, sustains the tight race. Separation could arise from youth turnout boosting TISZA in urban areas, Fidesz base mobilization via Viktor Orbán's intensified rallies like the March 27 Győr event, or late scandals shifting swing voters before election day.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026. Hungary uses a mixed electoral system in which most voters cast two votes: one for a candidate in a single-member constituency and one for a national party list.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of all valid national party list votes won by TISZA in this election.
This market will resolve solely based on national party list votes cast in this election. Votes cast for single-member constituencies will not be considered.
If the percentage of all valid national party list votes won by TISZA falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official election results reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu). However, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also suffice.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of all valid national party list votes won by TISZA in this election.
This market will resolve solely based on national party list votes cast in this election. Votes cast for single-member constituencies will not be considered.
If the percentage of all valid national party list votes won by TISZA falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official election results reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu). However, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also suffice.
Market Opened: Mar 16, 2026, 2:21 PM ET
Volume
$42,719End Date
Apr 12, 2026Market Opened
Mar 16, 2026, 2:21 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026. Hungary uses a mixed electoral system in which most voters cast two votes: one for a candidate in a single-member constituency and one for a national party list.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of all valid national party list votes won by TISZA in this election.
This market will resolve solely based on national party list votes cast in this election. Votes cast for single-member constituencies will not be considered.
If the percentage of all valid national party list votes won by TISZA falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official election results reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu). However, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also suffice.Recent polls for Hungary's April 12 parliamentary election show Péter Magyar's TISZA party with vote shares fluctuating between 40% and 58% across late March surveys, averaging 47-49% in the POLITICO Poll of Polls, anchoring trader consensus around the 46-50% band amid pollster divergence—Fidesz-aligned firms like Publicus and Nézőpont report TISZA nearer 40-42%, while independents like Medián (58%) and 21 Kutatóközpont (56% among decided voters) indicate widening leads. This variability, compounded by historical overperformance of incumbent Fidesz in national list votes and undecided voters tilting rural, sustains the tight race. Separation could arise from youth turnout boosting TISZA in urban areas, Fidesz base mobilization via Viktor Orbán's intensified rallies like the March 27 Győr event, or late scandals shifting swing voters before election day.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026. Hungary uses a mixed electoral system in which most voters cast two votes: one for a candidate in a single-member constituency and one for a national party list.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of all valid national party list votes won by TISZA in this election.
This market will resolve solely based on national party list votes cast in this election. Votes cast for single-member constituencies will not be considered.
If the percentage of all valid national party list votes won by TISZA falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official election results reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu). However, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also suffice.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of all valid national party list votes won by TISZA in this election.
This market will resolve solely based on national party list votes cast in this election. Votes cast for single-member constituencies will not be considered.
If the percentage of all valid national party list votes won by TISZA falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official election results reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu). However, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also suffice.
Volume
$42,719End Date
Apr 12, 2026Market Opened
Mar 16, 2026, 2:21 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls for Hungary's April 12 parliamentary election show Péter Magyar's TISZA party with vote shares fluctuating between 40% and 58% across late March surveys, averaging 47-49% in the POLITICO Poll of Polls, anchoring trader consensus around the 46-50% band amid pollster divergence—Fidesz-aligned firms like Publicus and Nézőpont report TISZA nearer 40-42%, while independents like Medián (58%) and 21 Kutatóközpont (56% among decided voters) indicate widening leads. This variability, compounded by historical overperformance of incumbent Fidesz in national list votes and undecided voters tilting rural, sustains the tight race. Separation could arise from youth turnout boosting TISZA in urban areas, Fidesz base mobilization via Viktor Orbán's intensified rallies like the March 27 Győr event, or late scandals shifting swing voters before election day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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