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Gorton and Denton by-election: 2nd Place

Market icon

Gorton and Denton by-election: 2nd Place

Matt Goodwin - Reform 100.0%

Zack Polanski – Green Party <1%

Andy Burnham - Labour <1%

Amanda Gardner – Green Party <1%

Polymarket

$31,185 Vol.

Matt Goodwin - Reform 100.0%

Zack Polanski – Green Party <1%

Andy Burnham - Labour <1%

Amanda Gardner – Green Party <1%

Polymarket

$31,185 Vol.

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Zack Polanski – Green Party

$627 Vol.

No

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Andy Burnham - Labour

$538 Vol.

No

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Amanda Gardner – Green Party

$610 Vol.

No

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Jonathan Gullis – Reform UK

$582 Vol.

No

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Jackie Pearcy - Lib Dems

$565 Vol.

No

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Zia Yusuf – Reform UK

$539 Vol.

No

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Lee Moffitt – Reform UK

$550 Vol.

No

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Hannah Spencer - Green Party

$3,002 Vol.

No

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Matt Goodwin - Reform

$13,762 Vol.

Yes

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Angeliki Stogia - Labour

$9,579 Vol.

No

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Bev Craig - Labour

$834 Vol.

No

The Gorton and Denton parliamentary by-election is currently scheduled for February 26, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the Gorton and Denton parliamentary by-election in Greater Manchester. In the case of an exact tie in valid votes received, this market will resolve according to the candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.

If the election results are not clear by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

Any change in party affiliation will not affect the resolution of this market.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Manchester City Council (https://www.manchester.gov.uk/elections).
Volume
$31,185
End Date
Feb 26, 2026
Created At
Feb 24, 2026, 5:38 PM ET
The Gorton and Denton parliamentary by-election is currently scheduled for February 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the Gorton and Denton parliamentary by-election in Greater Manchester. In the case of an exact tie in valid votes received, this market will resolve according to the candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If the election results are not clear by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". Any change in party affiliation will not affect the resolution of this market. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Manchester City Council (https://www.manchester.gov.uk/elections).

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Gorton and Denton by-election: 2nd Place" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Matt Goodwin - Reform" at 100%, followed by "Zack Polanski – Green Party" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Gorton and Denton by-election: 2nd Place" has generated $31.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 24, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Gorton and Denton by-election: 2nd Place," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Gorton and Denton by-election: 2nd Place" is "Matt Goodwin - Reform" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Zack Polanski – Green Party" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Gorton and Denton by-election: 2nd Place" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.