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Elections·Global Elections

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Market icon
Elections·Global Elections

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Gavin Newsom 24.3%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 8.1%

Jon Ossoff 5.6%

Kamala Harris 4.3%

Polymarket

$936,466,009 Vol.

Gavin Newsom 24.3%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 8.1%

Jon Ossoff 5.6%

Kamala Harris 4.3%

Polymarket

$936,466,009 Vol.

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Gavin Newsom

$16,567,143 Vol.

24%

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Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

$6,132,829 Vol.

8%

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Jon Ossoff

$5,846,525 Vol.

6%

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Kamala Harris

$8,670,274 Vol.

4%

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Pete Buttigieg

$9,472,632 Vol.

4%

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Josh Shapiro

$5,875,386 Vol.

4%

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James Talarico

$3,608,944 Vol.

2%

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J.B. Pritzker

$11,666,541 Vol.

2%

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Andy Beshear

$6,151,916 Vol.

2%

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Jon Stewart

$9,855,966 Vol.

2%

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Mark Kelly

$10,984,343 Vol.

2%

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Ruben Gallego

$3,553,358 Vol.

2%

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Wes Moore

$13,487,004 Vol.

2%

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Ro Khanna

$4,211,503 Vol.

2%

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Gretchen Whitmer

$7,154,027 Vol.

1%

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Michelle Obama

$21,392,445 Vol.

1%

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Rahm Emanuel

$11,141,349 Vol.

1%

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Cory Booker

$21,183,619 Vol.

1%

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Stephen A. Smith

$13,805,588 Vol.

1%

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Oprah Winfrey

$43,241,219 Vol.

1%

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Mark Cuban

$17,690,657 Vol.

1%

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Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson

$8,717,190 Vol.

1%

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John Fetterman

$16,940,660 Vol.

1%

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Liz Cheney

$32,058,752 Vol.

1%

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Zohran Mamdani

$32,982,201 Vol.

1%

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Chelsea Clinton

$44,376,897 Vol.

1%

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Chris Murphy

$11,395,719 Vol.

1%

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Roy Cooper

$24,665,259 Vol.

1%

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Gina Raimondo

$27,310,641 Vol.

1%

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George Clooney

$37,185,978 Vol.

1%

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Kim Kardashian

$32,841,228 Vol.

1%

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Jared Polis

$19,314,925 Vol.

1%

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LeBron James

$38,525,432 Vol.

1%

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MrBeast

$35,185,260 Vol.

1%

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Hillary Clinton

$37,361,044 Vol.

1%

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Barack Obama

$25,659,265 Vol.

1%

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Tim Walz

$36,463,670 Vol.

1%

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Andrew Yang

$41,996,771 Vol.

1%

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Phil Murphy

$33,393,653 Vol.

1%

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Hunter Biden

$31,413,476 Vol.

1%

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Jasmine Crockett

$22,372,846 Vol.

1%

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Raphael Warnock

$24,511,025 Vol.

1%

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Bernie Sanders

$38,653,680 Vol.

1%

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Beto O’Rourke

$31,449,352 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Gavin Newsom leads trader consensus at 24% implied probability for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination following March 20 LA Times/UC Berkeley polling showing him topping Kamala Harris by double digits among California Democrats, tying for second in Emerson's New Hampshire survey, and his March 24 POLITICO interview urging Democrats to get "more ruthless" against Trump-era policies. This wide-open post-2024 primary field lacks declared candidates, with Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez at 8% buoyed by progressive youth appeal amid centrist pushback from groups like Third Way and South Carolina strategists, and Jon Ossoff at 6% gaining from Georgia battleground incumbency and anti-Trump viral moments. Key differentiators include Newsom's executive record and fundraising prowess, AOC's grassroots mobilization, and Ossoff's swing-state viability; consolidation may hinge on 2026 midterm gains, donor support, or early Iowa caucus and New Hampshire primary polling.

Gavin Newsom leads trader consensus at 24% implied probability for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination following March 20 LA Times/UC Berkeley polling showing him topping Kamala Harris by double digits among California Democrats, tying for second in Emerson's New Hampshire survey, and his March 24 POLITICO interview urging Democrats to get "more ruthless" against Trump-era policies. This wide-open post-2024 primary field lacks declared candidates, with Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez at 8% buoyed by progressive youth appeal amid centrist pushback from groups like Third Way and South Carolina strategists, and Jon Ossoff at 6% gaining from Georgia battleground incumbency and anti-Trump viral moments. Key differentiators include Newsom's executive record and fundraising prowess, AOC's grassroots mobilization, and Ossoff's swing-state viability; consolidation may hinge on 2026 midterm gains, donor support, or early Iowa caucus and New Hampshire primary polling.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Gavin Newsom leads trader consensus at 24% implied probability for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination following March 20 LA Times/UC Berkeley polling showing him topping Kamala Harris by double digits among California Democrats, tying for second in Emerson's New Hampshire survey, and his March 24 POLITICO interview urging Democrats to get "more ruthless" against Trump-era policies. This wide-open post-2024 primary field lacks declared candidates, with Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez at 8% buoyed by progressive youth appeal amid centrist pushback from groups like Third Way and South Carolina strategists, and Jon Ossoff at 6% gaining from Georgia battleground incumbency and anti-Trump viral moments. Key differentiators include Newsom's executive record and fundraising prowess, AOC's grassroots mobilization, and Ossoff's swing-state viability; consolidation may hinge on 2026 midterm gains, donor support, or early Iowa caucus and New Hampshire primary polling.

Gavin Newsom leads trader consensus at 24% implied probability for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination following March 20 LA Times/UC Berkeley polling showing him topping Kamala Harris by double digits among California Democrats, tying for second in Emerson's New Hampshire survey, and his March 24 POLITICO interview urging Democrats to get "more ruthless" against Trump-era policies. This wide-open post-2024 primary field lacks declared candidates, with Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez at 8% buoyed by progressive youth appeal amid centrist pushback from groups like Third Way and South Carolina strategists, and Jon Ossoff at 6% gaining from Georgia battleground incumbency and anti-Trump viral moments. Key differentiators include Newsom's executive record and fundraising prowess, AOC's grassroots mobilization, and Ossoff's swing-state viability; consolidation may hinge on 2026 midterm gains, donor support, or early Iowa caucus and New Hampshire primary polling.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 44+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Gavin Newsom" at 24%, followed by "Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez" at 8%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 24¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 24% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028" has generated $936.5 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 11, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028," browse the 44+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028" is "Gavin Newsom" at 24%, meaning the market assigns a 24% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez" at 8%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.