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Elections·Global Elections

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Market icon
Elections·Global Elections

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Gavin Newsom 24.3%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 8.3%

Jon Ossoff 5.7%

Kamala Harris 4.3%

Polymarket

$931,222,642 Vol.

Gavin Newsom 24.3%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 8.3%

Jon Ossoff 5.7%

Kamala Harris 4.3%

Polymarket

$931,222,642 Vol.

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Gavin Newsom

$16,401,677 Vol.

24%

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Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

$6,059,880 Vol.

8%

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Jon Ossoff

$5,761,391 Vol.

6%

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Kamala Harris

$8,600,662 Vol.

4%

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Josh Shapiro

$5,801,255 Vol.

4%

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Pete Buttigieg

$9,422,017 Vol.

4%

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James Talarico

$3,431,600 Vol.

2%

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J.B. Pritzker

$11,581,435 Vol.

2%

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Jon Stewart

$9,681,133 Vol.

2%

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Mark Kelly

$10,862,436 Vol.

2%

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Andy Beshear

$6,012,205 Vol.

2%

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Ruben Gallego

$3,510,321 Vol.

2%

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Ro Khanna

$4,176,155 Vol.

2%

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Wes Moore

$13,423,904 Vol.

2%

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Gretchen Whitmer

$7,110,785 Vol.

1%

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Oprah Winfrey

$43,011,395 Vol.

1%

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Michelle Obama

$21,323,579 Vol.

1%

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Rahm Emanuel

$11,050,553 Vol.

1%

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Cory Booker

$20,901,948 Vol.

1%

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Mark Cuban

$17,571,957 Vol.

1%

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Stephen A. Smith

$13,658,493 Vol.

1%

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Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson

$8,615,873 Vol.

1%

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Chris Murphy

$11,340,596 Vol.

1%

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John Fetterman

$16,776,647 Vol.

1%

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LeBron James

$38,426,382 Vol.

1%

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Gina Raimondo

$27,187,178 Vol.

1%

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George Clooney

$37,078,413 Vol.

1%

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Liz Cheney

$31,994,054 Vol.

1%

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Zohran Mamdani

$32,908,640 Vol.

1%

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Chelsea Clinton

$44,296,514 Vol.

1%

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Roy Cooper

$24,549,672 Vol.

1%

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Jared Polis

$19,179,771 Vol.

1%

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MrBeast

$35,107,568 Vol.

1%

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Hillary Clinton

$37,291,625 Vol.

1%

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Barack Obama

$25,097,027 Vol.

1%

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Tim Walz

$36,384,512 Vol.

1%

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Andrew Yang

$41,904,343 Vol.

1%

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Kim Kardashian

$32,729,171 Vol.

1%

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Phil Murphy

$33,329,899 Vol.

1%

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Hunter Biden

$31,313,906 Vol.

1%

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Jasmine Crockett

$22,289,901 Vol.

1%

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Raphael Warnock

$24,250,593 Vol.

1%

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Bernie Sanders

$38,542,156 Vol.

1%

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Beto O’Rourke

$31,308,869 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.California Gov. Gavin Newsom commands trader consensus at 24.3% implied probability for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination, propelled by his national book tour in early primary states like New Hampshire and sharp criticisms of Trump administration policies on gas prices and foreign affairs, alongside a March POLITICO/UC Berkeley poll showing him leading Kamala Harris 28%-14% among California Democratic primary voters. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez trails at 8.3% on progressive appeal and youth, while Sen. Jon Ossoff's 5.6% reflects his swing-state Georgia record and viral anti-Trump speech. In this fragmented field, governors like Newsom differentiate via executive experience and fundraising prowess; consolidation hinges on 2026 midterm performances, early state polls, and donor commitments ahead of the 2028 primaries.

California Gov. Gavin Newsom commands trader consensus at 24.3% implied probability for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination, propelled by his national book tour in early primary states like New Hampshire and sharp criticisms of Trump administration policies on gas prices and foreign affairs, alongside a March POLITICO/UC Berkeley poll showing him leading Kamala Harris 28%-14% among California Democratic primary voters. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez trails at 8.3% on progressive appeal and youth, while Sen. Jon Ossoff's 5.6% reflects his swing-state Georgia record and viral anti-Trump speech. In this fragmented field, governors like Newsom differentiate via executive experience and fundraising prowess; consolidation hinges on 2026 midterm performances, early state polls, and donor commitments ahead of the 2028 primaries.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.California Gov. Gavin Newsom commands trader consensus at 24.3% implied probability for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination, propelled by his national book tour in early primary states like New Hampshire and sharp criticisms of Trump administration policies on gas prices and foreign affairs, alongside a March POLITICO/UC Berkeley poll showing him leading Kamala Harris 28%-14% among California Democratic primary voters. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez trails at 8.3% on progressive appeal and youth, while Sen. Jon Ossoff's 5.6% reflects his swing-state Georgia record and viral anti-Trump speech. In this fragmented field, governors like Newsom differentiate via executive experience and fundraising prowess; consolidation hinges on 2026 midterm performances, early state polls, and donor commitments ahead of the 2028 primaries.

California Gov. Gavin Newsom commands trader consensus at 24.3% implied probability for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination, propelled by his national book tour in early primary states like New Hampshire and sharp criticisms of Trump administration policies on gas prices and foreign affairs, alongside a March POLITICO/UC Berkeley poll showing him leading Kamala Harris 28%-14% among California Democratic primary voters. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez trails at 8.3% on progressive appeal and youth, while Sen. Jon Ossoff's 5.6% reflects his swing-state Georgia record and viral anti-Trump speech. In this fragmented field, governors like Newsom differentiate via executive experience and fundraising prowess; consolidation hinges on 2026 midterm performances, early state polls, and donor commitments ahead of the 2028 primaries.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 44+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Gavin Newsom" at 24%, followed by "Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez" at 8%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 24¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 24% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028" has generated $931.2 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 11, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028," browse the 44+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028" is "Gavin Newsom" at 24%, meaning the market assigns a 24% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez" at 8%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.