Incumbent Governor Ned Lamont commands an 88% implied probability in the Connecticut Democratic gubernatorial primary on August 11, 2026, reflecting his strong polling leads—such as 57% to Josh Elliott's 13% in a February CT Mirror survey—and high approval ratings around 49% amid a favorable economic backdrop. State Representative Josh Elliott, positioning as a progressive challenger from the left on economic populism, trails at 9% trader consensus despite recent efforts to secure delegates at town conventions and pump up his campaign through multi-stop events last week. Lamont's campaign responded with a key staff addition, bolstering defenses, while Elliott faces fundraising shortfalls and limited name recognition in this rare primary contest for a sitting governor since 1978. Ongoing delegate jockeying could influence party endorsement dynamics ahead of the summer vote.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$23,761 Vol.
$23,761 Vol.
Aug 11, 2026
Ned Lamont
88%
Josh Elliott
9%
$23,761 Vol.
$23,761 Vol.
Aug 11, 2026
Ned Lamont
$14,750 Vol.
88%
Josh Elliott
$9,010 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Connecticut, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.
If no 2026 Connecticut Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Connecticut Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Incumbent Governor Ned Lamont commands an 88% implied probability in the Connecticut Democratic gubernatorial primary on August 11, 2026, reflecting his strong polling leads—such as 57% to Josh Elliott's 13% in a February CT Mirror survey—and high approval ratings around 49% amid a favorable economic backdrop. State Representative Josh Elliott, positioning as a progressive challenger from the left on economic populism, trails at 9% trader consensus despite recent efforts to secure delegates at town conventions and pump up his campaign through multi-stop events last week. Lamont's campaign responded with a key staff addition, bolstering defenses, while Elliott faces fundraising shortfalls and limited name recognition in this rare primary contest for a sitting governor since 1978. Ongoing delegate jockeying could influence party endorsement dynamics ahead of the summer vote.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Connecticut, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.
If no 2026 Connecticut Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Connecticut Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If no 2026 Connecticut Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Connecticut Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Market Opened: Dec 5, 2025, 9:57 AM ET
Volume
$23,761End Date
Aug 11, 2026Market Opened
Dec 5, 2025, 9:57 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Connecticut, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.
If no 2026 Connecticut Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Connecticut Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Incumbent Governor Ned Lamont commands an 88% implied probability in the Connecticut Democratic gubernatorial primary on August 11, 2026, reflecting his strong polling leads—such as 57% to Josh Elliott's 13% in a February CT Mirror survey—and high approval ratings around 49% amid a favorable economic backdrop. State Representative Josh Elliott, positioning as a progressive challenger from the left on economic populism, trails at 9% trader consensus despite recent efforts to secure delegates at town conventions and pump up his campaign through multi-stop events last week. Lamont's campaign responded with a key staff addition, bolstering defenses, while Elliott faces fundraising shortfalls and limited name recognition in this rare primary contest for a sitting governor since 1978. Ongoing delegate jockeying could influence party endorsement dynamics ahead of the summer vote.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Connecticut, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.
If no 2026 Connecticut Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Connecticut Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If no 2026 Connecticut Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Connecticut Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$23,761End Date
Aug 11, 2026Market Opened
Dec 5, 2025, 9:57 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Governor Ned Lamont commands an 88% implied probability in the Connecticut Democratic gubernatorial primary on August 11, 2026, reflecting his strong polling leads—such as 57% to Josh Elliott's 13% in a February CT Mirror survey—and high approval ratings around 49% amid a favorable economic backdrop. State Representative Josh Elliott, positioning as a progressive challenger from the left on economic populism, trails at 9% trader consensus despite recent efforts to secure delegates at town conventions and pump up his campaign through multi-stop events last week. Lamont's campaign responded with a key staff addition, bolstering defenses, while Elliott faces fundraising shortfalls and limited name recognition in this rare primary contest for a sitting governor since 1978. Ongoing delegate jockeying could influence party endorsement dynamics ahead of the summer vote.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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