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Politics·Primaries

Colorado Governor Republican Primary Winner

Market icon
Politics·Primaries

Colorado Governor Republican Primary Winner

Victor Marx 41%

Barbara Kirkmeyer 36%

Scott Bottoms 19.2%

Jason Mikesell 2.8%

Polymarket

$80,783 Vol.

Victor Marx 41%

Barbara Kirkmeyer 36%

Scott Bottoms 19.2%

Jason Mikesell 2.8%

Polymarket

$80,783 Vol.

Victor Marx

$3,324 Vol.

41%

Barbara Kirkmeyer

$17,777 Vol.

36%

Scott Bottoms

$2,492 Vol.

19%

Jason Mikesell

$1,645 Vol.

3%

Jon Gray-Ginsberg

$5,708 Vol.

1%

Mark Baisley

$6,405 Vol.

1%

Will McBride

$28,153 Vol.

1%

Jason Clark

$1,287 Vol.

1%

Greg Lopez

$2,094 Vol.

1%

Daniel Thomas

$1,271 Vol.

1%

Bob Brinkerhoff

$1,360 Vol.

1%

Robert Moore

$3,111 Vol.

1%

Brycen Garrison

$1,229 Vol.

<1%

Joshua Griffin

$1,581 Vol.

<1%

Stevan Gess

$3,347 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Colorado, scheduled to take place on June 30, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Colorado Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Colorado Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Victor Marx holds a slim lead in trader consensus for the Colorado Republican gubernatorial primary at 40.5%, fueled by his recent $1.6 million grassroots fundraising haul—averaging under $120 per donation—and strong momentum from county caucuses, where supporters showed overwhelming energy in late March. Barbara Kirkmeyer trails closely at 35%, bolstered by her state Senate experience and perceived electability in the general election against a strong Democratic field. Scott Bottoms at 19.3% gains from a fresh rift over candidates' stances on pardoning Tina Peters, energizing election integrity advocates. The race remains tight among a divided GOP base weighing outsider appeal against legislative records, with state assembly delegate votes in Pueblo poised to consolidate support before the June 30 primary.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Colorado, scheduled to take place on June 30, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Colorado Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Colorado Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$80,783
End Date
Jun 30, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 5, 2025, 9:57 AM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Colorado, scheduled to take place on June 30, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Colorado Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Colorado Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Colorado, scheduled to take place on June 30, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Colorado Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Colorado Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Victor Marx holds a slim lead in trader consensus for the Colorado Republican gubernatorial primary at 40.5%, fueled by his recent $1.6 million grassroots fundraising haul—averaging under $120 per donation—and strong momentum from county caucuses, where supporters showed overwhelming energy in late March. Barbara Kirkmeyer trails closely at 35%, bolstered by her state Senate experience and perceived electability in the general election against a strong Democratic field. Scott Bottoms at 19.3% gains from a fresh rift over candidates' stances on pardoning Tina Peters, energizing election integrity advocates. The race remains tight among a divided GOP base weighing outsider appeal against legislative records, with state assembly delegate votes in Pueblo poised to consolidate support before the June 30 primary.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Colorado, scheduled to take place on June 30, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Colorado Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Colorado Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$80,783
End Date
Jun 30, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 5, 2025, 9:57 AM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Colorado, scheduled to take place on June 30, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Colorado Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Colorado Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Related

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Will Michael Bennet win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?

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Will Mark Baisley be the Republican nominee for Senate in Colorado?

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Will the Democrats win the Colorado governor race in 2026?

93%

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Colorado Governor Republican Primary Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 15 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Victor Marx" at 41%, followed by "Barbara Kirkmeyer" at 36%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 41¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 41% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Colorado Governor Republican Primary Winner" has generated $80.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 5, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Colorado Governor Republican Primary Winner," browse the 15 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Colorado Governor Republican Primary Winner" is "Victor Marx" at 41%, meaning the market assigns a 41% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Barbara Kirkmeyer" at 36%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Colorado Governor Republican Primary Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.