Trader consensus heavily favors a Democratic victory in the open-seat Colorado governor race at 93%, reflecting the state's leftward shift, Democratic trifecta control, and historical incumbency advantages in recent cycles like Jared Polis's 2022 landslide. Cook Political Report rates it Solid Democratic, with Sabato's Crystal Ball deeming it Safe Democratic, bolstered by a Magellan Strategies poll showing an unnamed Democrat leading 50%-38%. The Republican primary remains fragmented among over a dozen candidates like Barbara Kirkmeyer and Victor Marx, producing no clear frontrunner per Colorado Pols estimates, while Democrats pit strong contenders Michael Bennet (53% in latest primary poll) against Phil Weiser ahead of the June 30 primaries. Upsets could arise from GOP consolidation behind a unified nominee, a national Republican wave, Democratic scandals, or depressed turnout in this midterm.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedColorado Governor Election Winner
Colorado Governor Election Winner
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Democrat
93%
Republican
6%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Democrat
$0 Vol.
93%
Republican
$0 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Colorado gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Trader consensus heavily favors a Democratic victory in the open-seat Colorado governor race at 93%, reflecting the state's leftward shift, Democratic trifecta control, and historical incumbency advantages in recent cycles like Jared Polis's 2022 landslide. Cook Political Report rates it Solid Democratic, with Sabato's Crystal Ball deeming it Safe Democratic, bolstered by a Magellan Strategies poll showing an unnamed Democrat leading 50%-38%. The Republican primary remains fragmented among over a dozen candidates like Barbara Kirkmeyer and Victor Marx, producing no clear frontrunner per Colorado Pols estimates, while Democrats pit strong contenders Michael Bennet (53% in latest primary poll) against Phil Weiser ahead of the June 30 primaries. Upsets could arise from GOP consolidation behind a unified nominee, a national Republican wave, Democratic scandals, or depressed turnout in this midterm.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Colorado gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Market Opened: Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Colorado gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Trader consensus heavily favors a Democratic victory in the open-seat Colorado governor race at 93%, reflecting the state's leftward shift, Democratic trifecta control, and historical incumbency advantages in recent cycles like Jared Polis's 2022 landslide. Cook Political Report rates it Solid Democratic, with Sabato's Crystal Ball deeming it Safe Democratic, bolstered by a Magellan Strategies poll showing an unnamed Democrat leading 50%-38%. The Republican primary remains fragmented among over a dozen candidates like Barbara Kirkmeyer and Victor Marx, producing no clear frontrunner per Colorado Pols estimates, while Democrats pit strong contenders Michael Bennet (53% in latest primary poll) against Phil Weiser ahead of the June 30 primaries. Upsets could arise from GOP consolidation behind a unified nominee, a national Republican wave, Democratic scandals, or depressed turnout in this midterm.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Colorado gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$0End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors a Democratic victory in the open-seat Colorado governor race at 93%, reflecting the state's leftward shift, Democratic trifecta control, and historical incumbency advantages in recent cycles like Jared Polis's 2022 landslide. Cook Political Report rates it Solid Democratic, with Sabato's Crystal Ball deeming it Safe Democratic, bolstered by a Magellan Strategies poll showing an unnamed Democrat leading 50%-38%. The Republican primary remains fragmented among over a dozen candidates like Barbara Kirkmeyer and Victor Marx, producing no clear frontrunner per Colorado Pols estimates, while Democrats pit strong contenders Michael Bennet (53% in latest primary poll) against Phil Weiser ahead of the June 30 primaries. Upsets could arise from GOP consolidation behind a unified nominee, a national Republican wave, Democratic scandals, or depressed turnout in this midterm.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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