Incumbent U.S. Senator John Hickenlooper commands trader consensus at 82% implied probability to win Colorado's Democratic Senate primary on June 30, driven by his overwhelming fundraising advantage—over $7.6 million raised and $3.8 million cash on hand through late 2025 compared to challenger State Sen. Julie Gonzales' $179,000—as well as strong name recognition and incumbency benefits in a low-turnout primary. Gonzales, at 13.7%, gained momentum from securing the top ballot line with 63% at the March 28 state assembly after Hickenlooper petitioned onto the ballot, plus an Indivisible endorsement, though a February Data for Progress poll showed her trailing initially but leading after messaging. Minor candidates trail due to negligible resources; upcoming Q1 finance disclosures could shift dynamics.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedJohn Hickenlooper 83%
Julie Gonzales 14.2%
Anthony Zimpfer <1%
Brashad Hasley <1%
$21,771 Vol.
$21,771 Vol.
John Hickenlooper
83%
Julie Gonzales
14%
Anthony Zimpfer
1%
Brashad Hasley
<1%
Michael Scanlon
<1%
Karen Breslin
<1%
Nichole Miner
<1%
John Hickenlooper 83%
Julie Gonzales 14.2%
Anthony Zimpfer <1%
Brashad Hasley <1%
$21,771 Vol.
$21,771 Vol.
John Hickenlooper
83%
Julie Gonzales
14%
Anthony Zimpfer
1%
Brashad Hasley
<1%
Michael Scanlon
<1%
Karen Breslin
<1%
Nichole Miner
<1%
If no 2026 Colorado Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Colorado Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Market Opened: Nov 13, 2025, 1:49 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Colorado Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Colorado Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent U.S. Senator John Hickenlooper commands trader consensus at 82% implied probability to win Colorado's Democratic Senate primary on June 30, driven by his overwhelming fundraising advantage—over $7.6 million raised and $3.8 million cash on hand through late 2025 compared to challenger State Sen. Julie Gonzales' $179,000—as well as strong name recognition and incumbency benefits in a low-turnout primary. Gonzales, at 13.7%, gained momentum from securing the top ballot line with 63% at the March 28 state assembly after Hickenlooper petitioned onto the ballot, plus an Indivisible endorsement, though a February Data for Progress poll showed her trailing initially but leading after messaging. Minor candidates trail due to negligible resources; upcoming Q1 finance disclosures could shift dynamics.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated



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