Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors the Partido Liberal Colombiano (PLC) for third-most seats in Colombia's Chamber of Representatives following the March 8, 2026, legislative elections, reflecting official Registraduría Nacional escrutinio tallies as of late March showing the Historic Pact (PH) leading with around 31-33 seats, Centro Democrático (CD) in second, and PLC solidly third with 26 seats ahead of rivals like the Partido Conservador Colombiano and Partido de la U. Initial preconteo results had briefly positioned CD first and PLC second, but updated departmental proportional allocations—driven by PLC's broad presence across 24 departments—shifted the rankings, underscoring traditional parties' resilience despite PH's gains. While probabilities exceed 90%, tight margins in key departments like Antioquia and Valle del Cauca could prompt recounts or Consejo Nacional Electoral appeals, potentially reallocating curules to La U or CD if discrepancies emerge before final certification.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedPartido Liberal Colombiano (PLC) 92.8%
Partido de la U (La U) 4.9%
Centro Democrático (CD) 3.0%
Historic Pact for Colombia (PH) <1%
$449,400 Vol.
$449,400 Vol.
Mar 8, 2026
Partido Liberal Colombiano (PLC)
93%
Partido de la U (La U)
5%
Centro Democrático (CD)
3%
Historic Pact for Colombia (PH)
1%
Partido Conservador Colombiano (Conservative)
<1%
Green Alliance (AV)
<1%
Cambio Radical (CR)
<1%
MIRA-CJL coalition (MIRA-CJL)
<1%
Partido Liberal Colombiano (PLC) 92.8%
Partido de la U (La U) 4.9%
Centro Democrático (CD) 3.0%
Historic Pact for Colombia (PH) <1%
$449,400 Vol.
$449,400 Vol.
Mar 8, 2026
Partido Liberal Colombiano (PLC)
$35,773 Vol.
93%
Partido de la U (La U)
$373,460 Vol.
5%
Centro Democrático (CD)
$32,203 Vol.
3%
Historic Pact for Colombia (PH)
$7,963 Vol.
1%
Partido Conservador Colombiano (Conservative)
$0 Vol.
<1%
Green Alliance (AV)
$0 Vol.
<1%
Cambio Radical (CR)
$0 Vol.
<1%
MIRA-CJL coalition (MIRA-CJL)
$0 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Colombia on 8 March 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Chamber of Representatives.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors the Partido Liberal Colombiano (PLC) for third-most seats in Colombia's Chamber of Representatives following the March 8, 2026, legislative elections, reflecting official Registraduría Nacional escrutinio tallies as of late March showing the Historic Pact (PH) leading with around 31-33 seats, Centro Democrático (CD) in second, and PLC solidly third with 26 seats ahead of rivals like the Partido Conservador Colombiano and Partido de la U. Initial preconteo results had briefly positioned CD first and PLC second, but updated departmental proportional allocations—driven by PLC's broad presence across 24 departments—shifted the rankings, underscoring traditional parties' resilience despite PH's gains. While probabilities exceed 90%, tight margins in key departments like Antioquia and Valle del Cauca could prompt recounts or Consejo Nacional Electoral appeals, potentially reallocating curules to La U or CD if discrepancies emerge before final certification.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Colombia on 8 March 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Chamber of Representatives.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Chamber of Representatives.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Market Opened: Mar 4, 2026, 3:53 PM ET
Volume
$449,400End Date
Mar 8, 2026Market Opened
Mar 4, 2026, 3:53 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Colombia on 8 March 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Chamber of Representatives.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors the Partido Liberal Colombiano (PLC) for third-most seats in Colombia's Chamber of Representatives following the March 8, 2026, legislative elections, reflecting official Registraduría Nacional escrutinio tallies as of late March showing the Historic Pact (PH) leading with around 31-33 seats, Centro Democrático (CD) in second, and PLC solidly third with 26 seats ahead of rivals like the Partido Conservador Colombiano and Partido de la U. Initial preconteo results had briefly positioned CD first and PLC second, but updated departmental proportional allocations—driven by PLC's broad presence across 24 departments—shifted the rankings, underscoring traditional parties' resilience despite PH's gains. While probabilities exceed 90%, tight margins in key departments like Antioquia and Valle del Cauca could prompt recounts or Consejo Nacional Electoral appeals, potentially reallocating curules to La U or CD if discrepancies emerge before final certification.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Colombia on 8 March 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Chamber of Representatives.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Chamber of Representatives.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Volume
$449,400End Date
Mar 8, 2026Market Opened
Mar 4, 2026, 3:53 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors the Partido Liberal Colombiano (PLC) for third-most seats in Colombia's Chamber of Representatives following the March 8, 2026, legislative elections, reflecting official Registraduría Nacional escrutinio tallies as of late March showing the Historic Pact (PH) leading with around 31-33 seats, Centro Democrático (CD) in second, and PLC solidly third with 26 seats ahead of rivals like the Partido Conservador Colombiano and Partido de la U. Initial preconteo results had briefly positioned CD first and PLC second, but updated departmental proportional allocations—driven by PLC's broad presence across 24 departments—shifted the rankings, underscoring traditional parties' resilience despite PH's gains. While probabilities exceed 90%, tight margins in key departments like Antioquia and Valle del Cauca could prompt recounts or Consejo Nacional Electoral appeals, potentially reallocating curules to La U or CD if discrepancies emerge before final certification.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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