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Elections·Global Elections

Bulgaria Presidential Election

Market icon
Elections·Global Elections

Bulgaria Presidential Election

Iliana Iotova 42%

Nikolai Denkov 23%

Rosen Zhelyazkov 11%

Boyko Borissov 7.1%

Polymarket

$59,939 Vol.

Iliana Iotova 42%

Nikolai Denkov 23%

Rosen Zhelyazkov 11%

Boyko Borissov 7.1%

Polymarket

$59,939 Vol.

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Iliana Iotova

$31,674 Vol.

42%

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Nikolai Denkov

$2,777 Vol.

23%

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Rosen Zhelyazkov

$15,733 Vol.

11%

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Boyko Borissov

$1,320 Vol.

7%

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Yanaki Stoilov

$1,409 Vol.

6%

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Blagomir Kotsev

$1,763 Vol.

6%

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Atanas Atanasov

$640 Vol.

5%

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Kostadin Kostadinov

$925 Vol.

2%

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Vassil Terziev

$813 Vol.

2%

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Delyan Peevski

$733 Vol.

1%

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Natalia Kiselova

$705 Vol.

1%

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Krum Zarkov

$695 Vol.

1%

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Rosen Plevneliev

$752 Vol.

6%

Presidential elections in Bulgaria are expected to be held in the Fall of 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next presidential election in Bulgaria. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission (Centralna izbiratelna komisia, CEC) (www.cik.bg/).Incumbent President Iliana Iotova leads trader consensus at 41.5% implied probability for the fall 2026 Bulgarian presidential election, bolstered by her high visibility since assuming office in January 2026 after Rumen Radev's resignation and two-term limit, including appointing a caretaker government led by Andrey Gyurov and scheduling snap parliamentary elections for April 19 amid the country's eighth vote in five years of instability. Nikolai Denkov follows at 23%, drawing support from the reformist We Continue the Change-Democratic Bulgaria bloc despite its declining parliamentary polls around 12%. GERB's Rosen Zhelyazkov at 9.5% and Boyko Borissov at 7% reflect the party's second-place standing but recent prime ministerial resignation in December 2025. The closely contested field underscores uncertainty, with April parliamentary results likely shaping nominations and coalitions in Bulgaria's two-round direct presidential system.

Presidential elections in Bulgaria are expected to be held in the Fall of 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next presidential election in Bulgaria.

This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission (Centralna izbiratelna komisia, CEC) (www.cik.bg/).
Volume
$59,939
End Date
Nov 30, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 19, 2026, 3:12 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Presidential elections in Bulgaria are expected to be held in the Fall of 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next presidential election in Bulgaria. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission (Centralna izbiratelna komisia, CEC) (www.cik.bg/).
Presidential elections in Bulgaria are expected to be held in the Fall of 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next presidential election in Bulgaria. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission (Centralna izbiratelna komisia, CEC) (www.cik.bg/).Incumbent President Iliana Iotova leads trader consensus at 41.5% implied probability for the fall 2026 Bulgarian presidential election, bolstered by her high visibility since assuming office in January 2026 after Rumen Radev's resignation and two-term limit, including appointing a caretaker government led by Andrey Gyurov and scheduling snap parliamentary elections for April 19 amid the country's eighth vote in five years of instability. Nikolai Denkov follows at 23%, drawing support from the reformist We Continue the Change-Democratic Bulgaria bloc despite its declining parliamentary polls around 12%. GERB's Rosen Zhelyazkov at 9.5% and Boyko Borissov at 7% reflect the party's second-place standing but recent prime ministerial resignation in December 2025. The closely contested field underscores uncertainty, with April parliamentary results likely shaping nominations and coalitions in Bulgaria's two-round direct presidential system.

Presidential elections in Bulgaria are expected to be held in the Fall of 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next presidential election in Bulgaria.

This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission (Centralna izbiratelna komisia, CEC) (www.cik.bg/).
Volume
$59,939
End Date
Nov 30, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 19, 2026, 3:12 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Presidential elections in Bulgaria are expected to be held in the Fall of 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next presidential election in Bulgaria. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission (Centralna izbiratelna komisia, CEC) (www.cik.bg/).

Related

Market icon

Will Progressive Bulgaria (PB) win the most seats in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?

96%
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Will GERB-UDF (GERB-SDS) finish second in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?

93%
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Will We Continue the Change – Democratic Bulgaria (PP–DB) finish third in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?

78%

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Bulgaria Presidential Election" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 13 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Iliana Iotova" at 42%, followed by "Nikolai Denkov" at 23%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 42¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 42% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Bulgaria Presidential Election" has generated $59.9K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 19, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Bulgaria Presidential Election," browse the 13 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Bulgaria Presidential Election" is "Iliana Iotova" at 42%, meaning the market assigns a 42% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Nikolai Denkov" at 23%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Bulgaria Presidential Election" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.