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Palestinian Authority predictions & odds

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Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by...?

Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by...?

8%

December 31

$122K Vol.

$4.1K Liq.

3

Ends in 8 months

Which countries will recognize Palestine before 2027?

Which countries will recognize Palestine before 2027?

20%

The Netherlands

$625K Vol.

$50.4K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Israel false flag attack confirmed?

Israel false flag attack confirmed?

-

$1 Vol.

$141 Liq.

Foreign intervention in Gaza by..?

Foreign intervention in Gaza by..?

11%

June 30

$613K Vol.

$10.7K Liq.

Will Israel annex Gaza territory by June 30 2026?

Will Israel annex Gaza territory by June 30 2026?

3%

$92.3K Vol.

$16.2K Liq.

14

Ends in about 1 month

Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?

Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?

36%

$150K Vol.

$18.7K Liq.

291

Ends in 13 days

Israel ground operation in Iran confirmed by...?

Israel ground operation in Iran confirmed by...?

8%

May 31

$1M Vol.

$28.0K Liq.

50

Ends in 13 days

Will any country join the Board of Peace by June 30?

Will any country join the Board of Peace by June 30?

30%

$14.0K Vol.

$1.7K Liq.

1

Ends in about 1 month

Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027?

Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027?

12%

$67.7K Vol.

$16.3K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?

U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?

13%

$50.1K Vol.

$7.9K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Will Hamas agree to disarm by...?

Will Hamas agree to disarm by...?

8%

June 30, 2026

$2M Vol.

$16.2K Liq.

159

Ends in about 1 month

Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by...?

Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by...?

13%

June 30

$3M Vol.

$10.1K Liq.

357

Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by...?

Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by...?

37%

December 31

$555K Vol.

$12.8K Liq.

14

How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?

How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?

40%

5

$7M Vol.

$325K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Pakistan x Afghanistan ceasefire by...?

Pakistan x Afghanistan ceasefire by...?

31%

June 30

$150K Vol.

$525 Liq.

30

Ends in about 1 month

Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...?

Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...?

16%

June 30

$4M Vol.

$16.8K Liq.

980

Ends in about 1 month

Will the flotilla reach Gaza by May 31?

Will the flotilla reach Gaza by May 31?

1%

$5.2K Vol.

$8.5K Liq.

1

Ends in 13 days

Will Benny Gantz join the Bennett-Lapid alliance by June 30?

Will Benny Gantz join the Bennett-Lapid alliance by June 30?

20%

$1.9K Vol.

$9.8K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?

Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?

39%

$29.0K Vol.

$8.1K Liq.

4

Ends in 8 months

Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?

Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?

33%

December 31

$13.0K Vol.

$193K Liq.

4

Ends in 8 months

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Palestinian Authority.

Polymarket currently hosts 101 active markets for Palestinian Authority that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by...?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $18.9M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will Israel annex Gaza territory by June 30 2026?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 40% chance to 5. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Palestinian Authority predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.