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Macro Unemployment predictions & odds

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Geneva Open: Marco Trungelliti vs Mariano Navone

Geneva Open: Marco Trungelliti vs Mariano Navone

71%

Mariano Navone

$456 Vol.

$17.1K Liq.

Ends in 8 days

Macron out by...?

Macron out by...?

1%

June 30, 2026

$2M Vol.

$39.5K Liq.

94

Ends in about 1 month

2026 PGA Championship Winner

2026 PGA Championship Winner

16%

Alex Smalley

$5M Vol.

$1M today

$5M Liq.

27

Ends in about 23 hours

Presidential Election Winner 2028

Presidential Election Winner 2028

19%

JD Vance

$583M Vol.

$1M today

$30M Liq.

910

Ends in over 2 years

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

36%

J.D. Vance

$619M Vol.

$949K today

$31M Liq.

396

Ends in over 2 years

Who will Trump speak to in May?

Who will Trump speak to in May?

44%

Emmanuel Macron

$844K Vol.

$131K today

$107K Liq.

Ends in 14 days

Venezuela leader end of 2026?

Venezuela leader end of 2026?

65%

Nicolás Maduro

$88M Vol.

$113K today

$1M Liq.

337

Ends in 8 months

Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Orban)

Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Orban)

50%

Starmer - UK PM

$350K Vol.

$267K Liq.

3

Ends in 8 months

EPL: Next Chelsea Manager?

EPL: Next Chelsea Manager?

100%

Xabi Alonso

$43.5K Vol.

$52.4K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Who visited Epstein's Island?

Who visited Epstein's Island?

6%

Steve Bannon

$2M Vol.

$248K Liq.

129

Ends in about 1 month

Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027?

Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027?

68%

Kash Patel

$1M Vol.

$149K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Who will attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?

Who will attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?

51%

Jared Kushner

$1M Vol.

$92.5K Liq.

69

Ends in about 1 month

Argentina Presidential Election Winner

Argentina Presidential Election Winner

49%

Javier Milei

$67.8K Vol.

$117K Liq.

16

Ends in over 1 year

Who will Trump publicly insult by May 31?

Who will Trump publicly insult by May 31?

64%

Marjorie Taylor Greene

$103K Vol.

$64.6K Liq.

Ends in 14 days

Who will meet with Iran by May 31?

Who will meet with Iran by May 31?

16%

Jared Kushner

$82.5K Vol.

$72.3K Liq.

Ends in 14 days

Who will enter Iran by June 30?

Who will enter Iran by June 30?

5%

Any U.S. House member

$390K Vol.

$117K Liq.

4

Ends in about 1 month

Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?

Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?

22%

Kamala Harris

$644K Vol.

$650K Liq.

15

Ends in 8 months

Republican VP Nominee 2028

Republican VP Nominee 2028

32%

Vivek Ramaswamy

$7.7K Vol.

$384K Liq.

Ends in about 2 years

Toronto Mayoral Election Winner

Toronto Mayoral Election Winner

78%

Olivia Chow

$30.6K Vol.

$62.0K Liq.

5

Ends in 5 months

Venezuela de facto leader end of 2026?

Venezuela de facto leader end of 2026?

85%

Delcy Rodríguez

$18.0K Vol.

$498K Liq.

2

Ends in 8 months

Frequently Asked Questions

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Polymarket currently hosts 150 active markets for Macro Unemployment that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Geneva Open: Marco Trungelliti vs Mariano Navone”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $1.3B in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Geneva Open: Marco Trungelliti vs Mariano Navone”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Republican Presidential Nominee 2028,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Republican Presidential Nominee 2028,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 36% chance to J.D. Vance. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Macro Unemployment predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.