Amid a fragile ceasefire agreed on April 8 in the ongoing US-Iran conflict—mediated by Pakistan—efforts to schedule follow-up diplomatic talks have stalled, with no confirmed next meeting as of May 12. Iranian attacks on ships in the Strait of Hormuz on April 22 escalated tensions, while US proposals last week for sanctions relief, asset releases, and curbs on Iran's nuclear program and blockades drew firm preconditions from Tehran yesterday, including full sanctions removal before engagement. Diplomats continue indirect discussions via Oman or Pakistan, potentially involving senior US State Department envoys and Iranian foreign ministry officials if resumed before June deadlines; traders monitor for escalation signals or breakthroughs that could prompt high-level attendance from Trump administration principals.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$1,165,041 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
Donald Trump
4%
Marco Rubio
9%
J.D. Vance
28%
Jared Kushner
57%
Steve Witkoff
61%
$1,165,041 Vol.
Donald Trump
$214,336 Vol.
4%
Marco Rubio
$88,258 Vol.
9%
J.D. Vance
$647,493 Vol.
28%
Jared Kushner
$117,228 Vol.
57%
Steve Witkoff
$97,727 Vol.
61%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends the next diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not qualify as diplomatic meetings.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating in negotiations at the meeting.
If the next diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Amid a fragile ceasefire agreed on April 8 in the ongoing US-Iran conflict—mediated by Pakistan—efforts to schedule follow-up diplomatic talks have stalled, with no confirmed next meeting as of May 12. Iranian attacks on ships in the Strait of Hormuz on April 22 escalated tensions, while US proposals last week for sanctions relief, asset releases, and curbs on Iran's nuclear program and blockades drew firm preconditions from Tehran yesterday, including full sanctions removal before engagement. Diplomats continue indirect discussions via Oman or Pakistan, potentially involving senior US State Department envoys and Iranian foreign ministry officials if resumed before June deadlines; traders monitor for escalation signals or breakthroughs that could prompt high-level attendance from Trump administration principals.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends the next diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not qualify as diplomatic meetings.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating in negotiations at the meeting.
If the next diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not qualify as diplomatic meetings.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating in negotiations at the meeting.
If the next diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Market Opened: Apr 14, 2026, 6:36 PM ET
Volume
$1,165,041End Date
Jun 30, 2026Market Opened
Apr 14, 2026, 6:36 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends the next diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not qualify as diplomatic meetings.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating in negotiations at the meeting.
If the next diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Amid a fragile ceasefire agreed on April 8 in the ongoing US-Iran conflict—mediated by Pakistan—efforts to schedule follow-up diplomatic talks have stalled, with no confirmed next meeting as of May 12. Iranian attacks on ships in the Strait of Hormuz on April 22 escalated tensions, while US proposals last week for sanctions relief, asset releases, and curbs on Iran's nuclear program and blockades drew firm preconditions from Tehran yesterday, including full sanctions removal before engagement. Diplomats continue indirect discussions via Oman or Pakistan, potentially involving senior US State Department envoys and Iranian foreign ministry officials if resumed before June deadlines; traders monitor for escalation signals or breakthroughs that could prompt high-level attendance from Trump administration principals.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends the next diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not qualify as diplomatic meetings.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating in negotiations at the meeting.
If the next diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not qualify as diplomatic meetings.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating in negotiations at the meeting.
If the next diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$1,165,041End Date
Jun 30, 2026Market Opened
Apr 14, 2026, 6:36 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Amid a fragile ceasefire agreed on April 8 in the ongoing US-Iran conflict—mediated by Pakistan—efforts to schedule follow-up diplomatic talks have stalled, with no confirmed next meeting as of May 12. Iranian attacks on ships in the Strait of Hormuz on April 22 escalated tensions, while US proposals last week for sanctions relief, asset releases, and curbs on Iran's nuclear program and blockades drew firm preconditions from Tehran yesterday, including full sanctions removal before engagement. Diplomats continue indirect discussions via Oman or Pakistan, potentially involving senior US State Department envoys and Iranian foreign ministry officials if resumed before June deadlines; traders monitor for escalation signals or breakthroughs that could prompt high-level attendance from Trump administration principals.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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