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Knesset predictions & odds

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Michigan Democratic Senate Primary Winner

Michigan Democratic Senate Primary Winner

55%

Abdul El-Sayed

$549K Vol.

$93.4K Liq.

6

Ends in 3 months

Israeli parliament dissolved by...?

Israeli parliament dissolved by...?

48%

June 30

$1M Vol.

$52.7K Liq.

30

Ends in about 1 month

Israeli election results in a hung parliament?

Israeli election results in a hung parliament?

35%

$106 Vol.

$1.9K Liq.

2

Ends in 5 months

Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by July 31?

Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by July 31?

13%

$20.9K Vol.

$12.8K Liq.

2

Ends in 2 months

Israeli Legislative Election Winner

Israeli Legislative Election Winner

53%

Likud

$2.8K Vol.

$19.1K Liq.

Ends in 5 months

Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

41%

Benjamin Netanyahu

$9M Vol.

$243K today

$1M Liq.

253

Ends in 8 months

Israel Election: Likud # of seats?

Israel Election: Likud # of seats?

40%

25-29

$2.4K Vol.

$8.5K Liq.

Ends in 5 months

Israel election: will Likud lose seats?

Israel election: will Likud lose seats?

74%

$476 Vol.

$709 Liq.

Ends in 5 months

Netanyahu out by...?

Netanyahu out by...?

44%

December 31

$120M Vol.

$248K Liq.

34

Ends in 8 months

Ben-Gvir out as Israeli Minister of National Security by June 30?

Ben-Gvir out as Israeli Minister of National Security by June 30?

9%

$2.1K Vol.

$1.5K Liq.

5

Ends in about 1 month

Will Eisenkot join the Bennett-Lapid alliance by June 30?

Will Eisenkot join the Bennett-Lapid alliance by June 30?

19%

$1.3K Vol.

$12.4K Liq.

2

Ends in about 1 month

Israel enacts military exemption for Yeshiva students by Sep 30?

Israel enacts military exemption for Yeshiva students by Sep 30?

15%

$957 Vol.

$1.7K Liq.

Ends in 5 months

Israel x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by...?

Israel x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by...?

3%

May 31

$29.2K Vol.

$13.1K Liq.

8

Ends in 14 days

Will Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30?

Will Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30?

10%

$322K Vol.

$15.7K Liq.

9

Ends in about 1 month

Will Benny Gantz join the Bennett-Lapid alliance by June 30?

Will Benny Gantz join the Bennett-Lapid alliance by June 30?

20%

$1.9K Vol.

$10.6K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?

Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?

39%

$29.0K Vol.

$8.1K Liq.

4

Ends in 8 months

How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?

How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?

40%

5

$7M Vol.

$338K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Israel false flag attack confirmed?

Israel false flag attack confirmed?

-

$1 Vol.

$141 Liq.

MH Maccabi Tel Aviv vs. Bologna FC 1909 - More Markets

MH Maccabi Tel Aviv vs. Bologna FC 1909 - More Markets

-

$23.5K Vol.

Israel ground operation in Iran confirmed by...?

Israel ground operation in Iran confirmed by...?

7%

May 31

$1M Vol.

$23.6K Liq.

49

Ends in 14 days

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Knesset.

Polymarket currently hosts 101 active markets for Knesset that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Michigan Democratic Senate Primary Winner”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $139.4M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Netanyahu out by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Netanyahu out by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 44% chance to December 31. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Knesset predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.