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Election Interference predictions & odds

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Trump declares election interference national emergency?

Trump declares election interference national emergency?

29%

$156K Vol.

$5.3K Liq.

11

Ends in 8 months

Peru General Election invalidated by June 30?

Peru General Election invalidated by June 30?

2%

$100K Vol.

$25.2K Liq.

34

Ends in about 1 month

SCOTUS bars counting mail ballots after election day?

SCOTUS bars counting mail ballots after election day?

71%

$39.4K Vol.

$4.3K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Another Trump political opponent federally charged by May 31?

Another Trump political opponent federally charged by May 31?

15%

$8.7K Vol.

$9.4K Liq.

Ends in 14 days

Will a US court rule that the 2020 election was fradulent?

Will a US court rule that the 2020 election was fradulent?

14%

$21.3K Vol.

$3.9K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

"I beat Bush" Epstein Email Sender confirmed as ___ ?

"I beat Bush" Epstein Email Sender confirmed as ___ ?

80%

Not revealed in 2026

$13.4K Vol.

$20.1K Liq.

5

Ends in 8 months

Nothing Ever Happens: March

Nothing Ever Happens: March

62%

Nothing

$341K Vol.

$3.8K Liq.

Will Trump nationalize elections?

Will Trump nationalize elections?

11%

$15.5K Vol.

$11.3K Liq.

5

Ends in 8 months

UK election called by...?

UK election called by...?

5%

June 30, 2026

$760K Vol.

$3.0K Liq.

15

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

4%

May 31

$146K Vol.

$19.1K Liq.

10

Malta Parliamentary Election: Margin of Victory

Malta Parliamentary Election: Margin of Victory

46%

Labour Party 5-10%

$4.9K Vol.

$51.2K Liq.

Ends in 13 days

Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?

Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?

86%

$2.3K Vol.

$6.1K Liq.

2

Ends in 6 months

Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?

Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?

87%

$2.7K Vol.

$2.1K Liq.

2

Ends in 6 months

Presidential Election Winner 2028

Presidential Election Winner 2028

19%

JD Vance

$584M Vol.

$1M today

$30M Liq.

913

Ends in over 2 years

Thai Constitutional Court invalidates election?

Thai Constitutional Court invalidates election?

9%

$29.5K Vol.

$14.2K Liq.

3

Ends in about 1 month

Russia Parliamentary Election: Turnout

Russia Parliamentary Election: Turnout

43%

53-56%

$564 Vol.

$7.7K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

California voter ID referendum passes?

California voter ID referendum passes?

38%

$8.1K Vol.

$6.0K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

NZ election: Labour v National (% of Party List Vote)

NZ election: Labour v National (% of Party List Vote)

41%

Labour

$44 Vol.

$87 Liq.

Ends in 6 months

Steve Bannon exonerated by...?

Steve Bannon exonerated by...?

82%

June 30

$28.7K Vol.

$3.6K Liq.

1

Ends in about 1 month

2026 Taiwanese Local Elections: Party Winner

2026 Taiwanese Local Elections: Party Winner

84%

Kuomintang (KMT)

$112K Vol.

$43.9K Liq.

32

Ends in 6 months

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Election Interference.

Polymarket currently hosts 101 active markets for Election Interference that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Trump declares election interference national emergency? ”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $585.9M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Trump declares election interference national emergency? ”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Presidential Election Winner 2028,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Presidential Election Winner 2028,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 19% chance to JD Vance. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Election Interference predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.