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Politics·Middle East

Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Market icon
Politics·Middle East

Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Benjamin Netanyahu 46%

Naftali Bennett 24%

Gadi Eizenkot 14.8%

Yair Lapid 3.0%

Polymarket

$3,414,388 Vol.

Benjamin Netanyahu 46%

Naftali Bennett 24%

Gadi Eizenkot 14.8%

Yair Lapid 3.0%

Polymarket

$3,414,388 Vol.

Benjamin Netanyahu

$447,152 Vol.

46%

Naftali Bennett

$780,026 Vol.

24%

Gadi Eizenkot

$489,580 Vol.

15%

Yair Lapid

$204,747 Vol.

3%

Benny Gantz

$174,399 Vol.

2%

Avigdor Lieberman

$328,256 Vol.

2%

Yariv Levin

$0 Vol.

2%

Yair Golan

$249,586 Vol.

1%

Itamar Ben Gvir

$88,298 Vol.

1%

Yossi Cohen

$332,202 Vol.

1%

Gideon Sa’ar

$0 Vol.

1%

Ayelet Shaked

$64,587 Vol.

1%

Yoaz Hendel

$0 Vol.

<1%

Moshe Feiglin

$255,555 Vol.

<1%

Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus favors Benjamin Netanyahu at 46% to remain Prime Minister after Israel's next Knesset election, reflecting recent polls where Likud leads with 24-28 seats amid ongoing Gaza operations and Hezbollah escalations that bolster his security credentials. His coalition holds a slim majority despite haredi draft bill tensions and budget deadline pressures in December 2024, which could trigger snap elections if unresolved. Naftali Bennett's 24% surge stems from surveys showing his hypothetical new party capturing 15-20 seats, fueled by his October 2024 U.S. speeches signaling a political comeback. Gadi Eizenkot at 14.8% gains from his war cabinet role and rising favorability in center-left polls as a unifying opposition figure, though fragmentation hinders challengers. No election is scheduled until November 2026, but coalition fractures remain key risks.

Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$3,414,388
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Nov 14, 2025, 7:21 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus favors Benjamin Netanyahu at 46% to remain Prime Minister after Israel's next Knesset election, reflecting recent polls where Likud leads with 24-28 seats amid ongoing Gaza operations and Hezbollah escalations that bolster his security credentials. His coalition holds a slim majority despite haredi draft bill tensions and budget deadline pressures in December 2024, which could trigger snap elections if unresolved. Naftali Bennett's 24% surge stems from surveys showing his hypothetical new party capturing 15-20 seats, fueled by his October 2024 U.S. speeches signaling a political comeback. Gadi Eizenkot at 14.8% gains from his war cabinet role and rising favorability in center-left polls as a unifying opposition figure, though fragmentation hinders challengers. No election is scheduled until November 2026, but coalition fractures remain key risks.

Trader consensus favors Benjamin Netanyahu at 46% to remain Prime Minister after Israel's next Knesset election, reflecting recent polls where Likud leads with 24-28 seats amid ongoing Gaza operations and Hezbollah escalations that bolster his security credentials. His coalition holds a slim majority despite haredi draft bill tensions and budget deadline pressures in December 2024, which could trigger snap elections if unresolved. Naftali Bennett's 24% surge stems from surveys showing his hypothetical new party capturing 15-20 seats, fueled by his October 2024 U.S. speeches signaling a political comeback. Gadi Eizenkot at 14.8% gains from his war cabinet role and rising favorability in center-left polls as a unifying opposition figure, though fragmentation hinders challengers. No election is scheduled until November 2026, but coalition fractures remain key risks.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 14 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Benjamin Netanyahu" at 46%, followed by "Naftali Bennett" at 24%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 46¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 46% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?" has generated $3.4 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 15, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?," browse the 14 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?" is "Benjamin Netanyahu" at 46%, meaning the market assigns a 46% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Naftali Bennett" at 24%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.