Incumbent Rep. Troy Carter (D) holds a commanding position in Louisiana's 2nd Congressional District, a D+17 seat encompassing New Orleans, bolstered by the cancellation of the Republican primary due to no qualified GOP candidates, ensuring the Democratic nominee advances unopposed to the November 3 general election. Carter faces nominal primary opposition from Renada Collins (D) ahead of the May 16 closed partisan primary, with superior fundraising ($433,035 cash on hand vs. Collins' zero as of late March) and Solid Democratic ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Trader consensus at 93.5% for Democrats reflects this structural lock; shifts would require Carter's primary upset, a late Republican write-in surge, scandal, or national midterm wave.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLA-02 House Election Winner
LA-02 House Election Winner
$13,523 Vol.
$13,523 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
5%
$13,523 Vol.
$13,523 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$4,882 Vol.
94%
Republican Party
$8,641 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Troy Carter (D) holds a commanding position in Louisiana's 2nd Congressional District, a D+17 seat encompassing New Orleans, bolstered by the cancellation of the Republican primary due to no qualified GOP candidates, ensuring the Democratic nominee advances unopposed to the November 3 general election. Carter faces nominal primary opposition from Renada Collins (D) ahead of the May 16 closed partisan primary, with superior fundraising ($433,035 cash on hand vs. Collins' zero as of late March) and Solid Democratic ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Trader consensus at 93.5% for Democrats reflects this structural lock; shifts would require Carter's primary upset, a late Republican write-in surge, scandal, or national midterm wave.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$13,523End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Troy Carter (D) holds a commanding position in Louisiana's 2nd Congressional District, a D+17 seat encompassing New Orleans, bolstered by the cancellation of the Republican primary due to no qualified GOP candidates, ensuring the Democratic nominee advances unopposed to the November 3 general election. Carter faces nominal primary opposition from Renada Collins (D) ahead of the May 16 closed partisan primary, with superior fundraising ($433,035 cash on hand vs. Collins' zero as of late March) and Solid Democratic ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Trader consensus at 93.5% for Democrats reflects this structural lock; shifts would require Carter's primary upset, a late Republican write-in surge, scandal, or national midterm wave.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$13,523End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Troy Carter (D) holds a commanding position in Louisiana's 2nd Congressional District, a D+17 seat encompassing New Orleans, bolstered by the cancellation of the Republican primary due to no qualified GOP candidates, ensuring the Democratic nominee advances unopposed to the November 3 general election. Carter faces nominal primary opposition from Renada Collins (D) ahead of the May 16 closed partisan primary, with superior fundraising ($433,035 cash on hand vs. Collins' zero as of late March) and Solid Democratic ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Trader consensus at 93.5% for Democrats reflects this structural lock; shifts would require Carter's primary upset, a late Republican write-in surge, scandal, or national midterm wave.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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