Louisiana’s 1st congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+19 Partisan Voter Index and consistent solid or safe Republican ratings from forecasters ahead of the November 3, 2026, election. Incumbent Steve Scalise has held the seat since 2008 with wide margins in prior cycles, supported by the district’s suburban and rural voter base east of New Orleans. Louisiana’s shift to an open primary system for the 2026 House races, following recent legislative changes, has not altered the underlying partisan dynamics. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with the district’s historical voting patterns and limited Democratic infrastructure. A major scandal, health-related withdrawal, or national political realignment would be required to meaningfully shift the outcome.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoLA-01 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
LA-01 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
$37,589 Vol.
$37,589 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
91%
Partido Demócrata
9%
$37,589 Vol.
$37,589 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$16,094 Vol.
91%
Partido Demócrata
$21,495 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Louisiana’s 1st congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+19 Partisan Voter Index and consistent solid or safe Republican ratings from forecasters ahead of the November 3, 2026, election. Incumbent Steve Scalise has held the seat since 2008 with wide margins in prior cycles, supported by the district’s suburban and rural voter base east of New Orleans. Louisiana’s shift to an open primary system for the 2026 House races, following recent legislative changes, has not altered the underlying partisan dynamics. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with the district’s historical voting patterns and limited Democratic infrastructure. A major scandal, health-related withdrawal, or national political realignment would be required to meaningfully shift the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volumen
$37,589Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Louisiana’s 1st congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+19 Partisan Voter Index and consistent solid or safe Republican ratings from forecasters ahead of the November 3, 2026, election. Incumbent Steve Scalise has held the seat since 2008 with wide margins in prior cycles, supported by the district’s suburban and rural voter base east of New Orleans. Louisiana’s shift to an open primary system for the 2026 House races, following recent legislative changes, has not altered the underlying partisan dynamics. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with the district’s historical voting patterns and limited Democratic infrastructure. A major scandal, health-related withdrawal, or national political realignment would be required to meaningfully shift the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$37,589Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Louisiana’s 1st congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+19 Partisan Voter Index and consistent solid or safe Republican ratings from forecasters ahead of the November 3, 2026, election. Incumbent Steve Scalise has held the seat since 2008 with wide margins in prior cycles, supported by the district’s suburban and rural voter base east of New Orleans. Louisiana’s shift to an open primary system for the 2026 House races, following recent legislative changes, has not altered the underlying partisan dynamics. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with the district’s historical voting patterns and limited Democratic infrastructure. A major scandal, health-related withdrawal, or national political realignment would be required to meaningfully shift the outcome.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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