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Elections·Global Elections

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Market icon
Elections·Global Elections

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Gavin Newsom 24.3%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 8.2%

Jon Ossoff 5.5%

Kamala Harris 4.4%

Polymarket

$938,124,926 Vol.

Gavin Newsom 24.3%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 8.2%

Jon Ossoff 5.5%

Kamala Harris 4.4%

Polymarket

$938,124,926 Vol.

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Gavin Newsom

$16,615,592 Vol.

24%

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Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

$6,155,849 Vol.

8%

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Jon Ossoff

$5,859,672 Vol.

6%

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Kamala Harris

$8,704,934 Vol.

4%

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Pete Buttigieg

$9,493,711 Vol.

4%

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Josh Shapiro

$5,888,210 Vol.

4%

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Andy Beshear

$6,241,277 Vol.

3%

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James Talarico

$3,729,647 Vol.

2%

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Jon Stewart

$9,995,174 Vol.

2%

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J.B. Pritzker

$11,679,710 Vol.

2%

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Mark Kelly

$11,017,972 Vol.

2%

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Ruben Gallego

$3,572,903 Vol.

2%

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Wes Moore

$13,497,504 Vol.

2%

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Gretchen Whitmer

$7,167,725 Vol.

1%

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Ro Khanna

$4,227,278 Vol.

1%

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Michelle Obama

$21,416,744 Vol.

1%

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Rahm Emanuel

$11,179,838 Vol.

1%

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Oprah Winfrey

$43,271,115 Vol.

1%

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Cory Booker

$21,248,332 Vol.

1%

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Stephen A. Smith

$13,837,649 Vol.

1%

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Mark Cuban

$17,728,255 Vol.

1%

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Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson

$8,745,307 Vol.

1%

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John Fetterman

$16,977,854 Vol.

1%

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LeBron James

$38,557,827 Vol.

1%

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Chris Murphy

$11,409,865 Vol.

1%

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Liz Cheney

$32,086,756 Vol.

1%

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Zohran Mamdani

$32,999,098 Vol.

1%

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Chelsea Clinton

$44,441,439 Vol.

1%

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Roy Cooper

$24,713,071 Vol.

1%

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Gina Raimondo

$27,361,067 Vol.

1%

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George Clooney

$37,252,064 Vol.

1%

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MrBeast

$35,237,571 Vol.

1%

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Hillary Clinton

$37,412,890 Vol.

1%

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Barack Obama

$25,733,877 Vol.

1%

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Tim Walz

$36,496,969 Vol.

1%

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Andrew Yang

$42,010,965 Vol.

1%

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Kim Kardashian

$32,875,741 Vol.

1%

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Jared Polis

$19,341,619 Vol.

1%

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Phil Murphy

$33,412,745 Vol.

1%

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Hunter Biden

$31,432,817 Vol.

1%

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Jasmine Crockett

$22,410,893 Vol.

1%

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Raphael Warnock

$24,547,469 Vol.

1%

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Bernie Sanders

$38,702,665 Vol.

1%

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Beto O’Rourke

$31,474,198 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.California Governor Gavin Newsom commands 24% trader consensus on Polymarket for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination, driven by his dominant performance in a March 12 POLITICO California primary poll trouncing Kamala Harris at home and heightened national profile from his February memoir "Young Man in a Hurry." Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez follows at 8%, lifted by her Munich Security Conference appearance but tempered by Democratic pragmatists mobilizing against progressive firebrands to prioritize electability. Jon Ossoff's 5.5% reflects Senate visibility, while Harris lags at 4.4% amid 2024 baggage despite leading some national primary polls. This wide-open field awaits 2026 midterm results in battleground states to consolidate support through fundraising leads, endorsements, and path-to-victory in early primaries like Iowa and New Hampshire.

California Governor Gavin Newsom commands 24% trader consensus on Polymarket for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination, driven by his dominant performance in a March 12 POLITICO California primary poll trouncing Kamala Harris at home and heightened national profile from his February memoir "Young Man in a Hurry." Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez follows at 8%, lifted by her Munich Security Conference appearance but tempered by Democratic pragmatists mobilizing against progressive firebrands to prioritize electability. Jon Ossoff's 5.5% reflects Senate visibility, while Harris lags at 4.4% amid 2024 baggage despite leading some national primary polls. This wide-open field awaits 2026 midterm results in battleground states to consolidate support through fundraising leads, endorsements, and path-to-victory in early primaries like Iowa and New Hampshire.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.California Governor Gavin Newsom commands 24% trader consensus on Polymarket for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination, driven by his dominant performance in a March 12 POLITICO California primary poll trouncing Kamala Harris at home and heightened national profile from his February memoir "Young Man in a Hurry." Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez follows at 8%, lifted by her Munich Security Conference appearance but tempered by Democratic pragmatists mobilizing against progressive firebrands to prioritize electability. Jon Ossoff's 5.5% reflects Senate visibility, while Harris lags at 4.4% amid 2024 baggage despite leading some national primary polls. This wide-open field awaits 2026 midterm results in battleground states to consolidate support through fundraising leads, endorsements, and path-to-victory in early primaries like Iowa and New Hampshire.

California Governor Gavin Newsom commands 24% trader consensus on Polymarket for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination, driven by his dominant performance in a March 12 POLITICO California primary poll trouncing Kamala Harris at home and heightened national profile from his February memoir "Young Man in a Hurry." Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez follows at 8%, lifted by her Munich Security Conference appearance but tempered by Democratic pragmatists mobilizing against progressive firebrands to prioritize electability. Jon Ossoff's 5.5% reflects Senate visibility, while Harris lags at 4.4% amid 2024 baggage despite leading some national primary polls. This wide-open field awaits 2026 midterm results in battleground states to consolidate support through fundraising leads, endorsements, and path-to-victory in early primaries like Iowa and New Hampshire.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 44+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Gavin Newsom" at 24%, followed by "Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez" at 8%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 24¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 24% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028" has generated $938.1 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 11, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028," browse the 44+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028" is "Gavin Newsom" at 24%, meaning the market assigns a 24% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez" at 8%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.