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Elections·Global Elections

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Market icon
Elections·Global Elections

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Gavin Newsom 24.3%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 8.1%

Jon Ossoff 5.6%

Kamala Harris 4.5%

Polymarket

$937,442,363 Vol.

Gavin Newsom 24.3%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 8.1%

Jon Ossoff 5.6%

Kamala Harris 4.5%

Polymarket

$937,442,363 Vol.

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Gavin Newsom

$16,598,085 Vol.

24%

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Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

$6,146,010 Vol.

8%

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Jon Ossoff

$5,849,707 Vol.

6%

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Kamala Harris

$8,696,034 Vol.

4%

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Pete Buttigieg

$9,479,395 Vol.

4%

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Josh Shapiro

$5,877,210 Vol.

4%

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James Talarico

$3,675,197 Vol.

2%

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Jon Stewart

$9,939,920 Vol.

2%

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Andy Beshear

$6,215,603 Vol.

2%

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J.B. Pritzker

$11,671,749 Vol.

2%

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Mark Kelly

$10,992,896 Vol.

2%

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Ruben Gallego

$3,556,864 Vol.

2%

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Wes Moore

$13,489,015 Vol.

2%

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Ro Khanna

$4,215,473 Vol.

2%

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Gretchen Whitmer

$7,158,585 Vol.

1%

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Michelle Obama

$21,405,078 Vol.

1%

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Rahm Emanuel

$11,178,838 Vol.

1%

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Oprah Winfrey

$43,261,769 Vol.

1%

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Stephen A. Smith

$13,826,906 Vol.

1%

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Cory Booker

$21,229,029 Vol.

1%

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Mark Cuban

$17,717,478 Vol.

1%

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Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson

$8,736,458 Vol.

1%

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John Fetterman

$16,970,477 Vol.

1%

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Chris Murphy

$11,400,583 Vol.

1%

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Liz Cheney

$32,073,123 Vol.

1%

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Zohran Mamdani

$32,991,003 Vol.

1%

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LeBron James

$38,540,677 Vol.

1%

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Chelsea Clinton

$44,423,249 Vol.

1%

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Roy Cooper

$24,693,851 Vol.

1%

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Gina Raimondo

$27,349,380 Vol.

1%

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George Clooney

$37,237,502 Vol.

1%

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MrBeast

$35,223,856 Vol.

1%

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Hillary Clinton

$37,395,120 Vol.

1%

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Barack Obama

$25,722,688 Vol.

1%

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Tim Walz

$36,482,414 Vol.

1%

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Andrew Yang

$41,999,842 Vol.

1%

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Kim Kardashian

$32,866,126 Vol.

1%

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Jared Polis

$19,327,022 Vol.

1%

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Phil Murphy

$33,401,766 Vol.

1%

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Hunter Biden

$31,419,876 Vol.

1%

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Jasmine Crockett

$22,396,179 Vol.

1%

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Raphael Warnock

$24,530,938 Vol.

1%

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Bernie Sanders

$38,687,950 Vol.

1%

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Beto O’Rourke

$31,459,481 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.California Governor Gavin Newsom commands trader consensus as the 2028 Democratic presidential nominee frontrunner, propelled by a March 12 POLITICO poll revealing his commanding lead over Kamala Harris in their shared home-state primary matchup, alongside his national book tour promoting "Young Man in a Hurry" and pointed critiques of Trump administration policies. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez follows with progressive energy from youth appeal and prior polling edges against JD Vance, while Georgia Senator Jon Ossoff benefits from a viral February anti-Trump speech enhancing his swing-state credentials. This wide-open post-2024 field lacks an incumbent, leaving probabilities fragmented; 2026 midterm results, fundraising hauls, key endorsements, and scandal avoidance could consolidate support behind executives or battleground senators demonstrating broad electability.

California Governor Gavin Newsom commands trader consensus as the 2028 Democratic presidential nominee frontrunner, propelled by a March 12 POLITICO poll revealing his commanding lead over Kamala Harris in their shared home-state primary matchup, alongside his national book tour promoting "Young Man in a Hurry" and pointed critiques of Trump administration policies. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez follows with progressive energy from youth appeal and prior polling edges against JD Vance, while Georgia Senator Jon Ossoff benefits from a viral February anti-Trump speech enhancing his swing-state credentials. This wide-open post-2024 field lacks an incumbent, leaving probabilities fragmented; 2026 midterm results, fundraising hauls, key endorsements, and scandal avoidance could consolidate support behind executives or battleground senators demonstrating broad electability.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.California Governor Gavin Newsom commands trader consensus as the 2028 Democratic presidential nominee frontrunner, propelled by a March 12 POLITICO poll revealing his commanding lead over Kamala Harris in their shared home-state primary matchup, alongside his national book tour promoting "Young Man in a Hurry" and pointed critiques of Trump administration policies. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez follows with progressive energy from youth appeal and prior polling edges against JD Vance, while Georgia Senator Jon Ossoff benefits from a viral February anti-Trump speech enhancing his swing-state credentials. This wide-open post-2024 field lacks an incumbent, leaving probabilities fragmented; 2026 midterm results, fundraising hauls, key endorsements, and scandal avoidance could consolidate support behind executives or battleground senators demonstrating broad electability.

California Governor Gavin Newsom commands trader consensus as the 2028 Democratic presidential nominee frontrunner, propelled by a March 12 POLITICO poll revealing his commanding lead over Kamala Harris in their shared home-state primary matchup, alongside his national book tour promoting "Young Man in a Hurry" and pointed critiques of Trump administration policies. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez follows with progressive energy from youth appeal and prior polling edges against JD Vance, while Georgia Senator Jon Ossoff benefits from a viral February anti-Trump speech enhancing his swing-state credentials. This wide-open post-2024 field lacks an incumbent, leaving probabilities fragmented; 2026 midterm results, fundraising hauls, key endorsements, and scandal avoidance could consolidate support behind executives or battleground senators demonstrating broad electability.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 44+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Gavin Newsom" at 24%, followed by "Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez" at 8%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 24¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 24% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028" has generated $937.4 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 11, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028," browse the 44+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028" is "Gavin Newsom" at 24%, meaning the market assigns a 24% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez" at 8%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.