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Elections·Global Elections

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Market icon
Elections·Global Elections

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Gavin Newsom 24.3%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 8.1%

Jon Ossoff 5.5%

Kamala Harris 4.5%

Polymarket

$937,651,954 Vol.

Gavin Newsom 24.3%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 8.1%

Jon Ossoff 5.5%

Kamala Harris 4.5%

Polymarket

$937,651,954 Vol.

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Gavin Newsom

$16,604,122 Vol.

24%

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Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

$6,149,059 Vol.

8%

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Jon Ossoff

$5,853,717 Vol.

6%

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Kamala Harris

$8,698,067 Vol.

4%

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Pete Buttigieg

$9,484,560 Vol.

4%

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Josh Shapiro

$5,881,069 Vol.

4%

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Andy Beshear

$6,217,720 Vol.

2%

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James Talarico

$3,684,765 Vol.

2%

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Jon Stewart

$9,959,250 Vol.

2%

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J.B. Pritzker

$11,674,849 Vol.

2%

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Mark Kelly

$10,995,537 Vol.

2%

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Ruben Gallego

$3,560,116 Vol.

2%

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Wes Moore

$13,490,667 Vol.

2%

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Ro Khanna

$4,220,515 Vol.

2%

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Gretchen Whitmer

$7,162,629 Vol.

1%

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Michelle Obama

$21,406,506 Vol.

1%

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Rahm Emanuel

$11,179,838 Vol.

1%

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Oprah Winfrey

$43,265,532 Vol.

1%

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Stephen A. Smith

$13,831,565 Vol.

1%

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Cory Booker

$21,231,858 Vol.

1%

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Mark Cuban

$17,719,648 Vol.

1%

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Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson

$8,740,463 Vol.

1%

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John Fetterman

$16,973,491 Vol.

1%

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LeBron James

$38,546,343 Vol.

1%

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Chris Murphy

$11,403,462 Vol.

1%

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Liz Cheney

$32,076,144 Vol.

1%

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Zohran Mamdani

$32,994,188 Vol.

1%

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Chelsea Clinton

$44,427,005 Vol.

1%

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Roy Cooper

$24,697,040 Vol.

1%

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Gina Raimondo

$27,354,366 Vol.

1%

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George Clooney

$37,244,678 Vol.

1%

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MrBeast

$35,226,682 Vol.

1%

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Hillary Clinton

$37,397,833 Vol.

1%

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Barack Obama

$25,726,753 Vol.

1%

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Tim Walz

$36,485,553 Vol.

1%

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Andrew Yang

$42,003,736 Vol.

1%

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Kim Kardashian

$32,870,830 Vol.

1%

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Jared Polis

$19,331,130 Vol.

1%

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Phil Murphy

$33,405,325 Vol.

1%

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Hunter Biden

$31,426,182 Vol.

1%

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Jasmine Crockett

$22,399,152 Vol.

1%

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Raphael Warnock

$24,535,215 Vol.

1%

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Bernie Sanders

$38,693,124 Vol.

1%

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Beto O’Rourke

$31,461,739 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus on Polymarket positions California Governor Gavin Newsom as the clear frontrunner at 24% implied probability for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination, reflecting his executive experience, national fundraising dominance exceeding $50 million recently, and frequent media clashes with the Trump administration that boost his anti-Trump credentials. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez trails at 8% buoyed by strong progressive and youth support evident in early polls, while Georgia Senator Jon Ossoff at 5.5% gains from battleground incumbency ahead of his 2026 reelection. Former Vice President Kamala Harris lags at 4.5% despite leading some March national primary polls like JL Partners (22%), as traders weigh her 2024 general election loss. Key differentiators include regional appeal, ideological lanes, and midterm performances; consolidation may hinge on 2026 results, DNC rules changes, or major endorsements shifting the wide-open field.

Trader consensus on Polymarket positions California Governor Gavin Newsom as the clear frontrunner at 24% implied probability for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination, reflecting his executive experience, national fundraising dominance exceeding $50 million recently, and frequent media clashes with the Trump administration that boost his anti-Trump credentials. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez trails at 8% buoyed by strong progressive and youth support evident in early polls, while Georgia Senator Jon Ossoff at 5.5% gains from battleground incumbency ahead of his 2026 reelection. Former Vice President Kamala Harris lags at 4.5% despite leading some March national primary polls like JL Partners (22%), as traders weigh her 2024 general election loss. Key differentiators include regional appeal, ideological lanes, and midterm performances; consolidation may hinge on 2026 results, DNC rules changes, or major endorsements shifting the wide-open field.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus on Polymarket positions California Governor Gavin Newsom as the clear frontrunner at 24% implied probability for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination, reflecting his executive experience, national fundraising dominance exceeding $50 million recently, and frequent media clashes with the Trump administration that boost his anti-Trump credentials. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez trails at 8% buoyed by strong progressive and youth support evident in early polls, while Georgia Senator Jon Ossoff at 5.5% gains from battleground incumbency ahead of his 2026 reelection. Former Vice President Kamala Harris lags at 4.5% despite leading some March national primary polls like JL Partners (22%), as traders weigh her 2024 general election loss. Key differentiators include regional appeal, ideological lanes, and midterm performances; consolidation may hinge on 2026 results, DNC rules changes, or major endorsements shifting the wide-open field.

Trader consensus on Polymarket positions California Governor Gavin Newsom as the clear frontrunner at 24% implied probability for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination, reflecting his executive experience, national fundraising dominance exceeding $50 million recently, and frequent media clashes with the Trump administration that boost his anti-Trump credentials. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez trails at 8% buoyed by strong progressive and youth support evident in early polls, while Georgia Senator Jon Ossoff at 5.5% gains from battleground incumbency ahead of his 2026 reelection. Former Vice President Kamala Harris lags at 4.5% despite leading some March national primary polls like JL Partners (22%), as traders weigh her 2024 general election loss. Key differentiators include regional appeal, ideological lanes, and midterm performances; consolidation may hinge on 2026 results, DNC rules changes, or major endorsements shifting the wide-open field.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 44+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Gavin Newsom" at 24%, followed by "Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez" at 8%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 24¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 24% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028" has generated $937.7 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 11, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028," browse the 44+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028" is "Gavin Newsom" at 24%, meaning the market assigns a 24% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez" at 8%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.