Tennessee Governor Republican Primary Winner

Elections·Primaries

Tennessee Governor Republican Primary Winner

Marsha Blackburn 89%

John Rose 6%

Monty Fritts 5%

NEW

Aug 6, 2026

Marsha Blackburn

$0 Vol.

89%

John Rose

$0 Vol.

Monty Fritts

$0 Vol.

Marsha Blackburn 89%

John Rose 6%

Monty Fritts 5%

NEW

Aug 6, 2026

Marsha Blackburn

$0 Vol.

89%

John Rose

$0 Vol.

Monty Fritts

$0 Vol.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Tennessee, scheduled to take place on August 6, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Tennessee Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Tennessee Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Sen. Marsha Blackburn holds an 88.5% implied probability as the Republican primary winner for Tennessee's 2026 gubernatorial race, reflecting trader consensus on her polling dominance and statewide incumbency advantage as U.S. Senator. A July 2024 Emerson College poll showed her leading a hypothetical GOP field at 41%, far ahead of Rep. John Rose (10%) and Tennessee Republican Party Chairman Monty Fritts (5%), bolstering her position amid Gov. Bill Lee's term limits creating an open seat. Blackburn's high name recognition from her 2018 Senate victory and alignment with conservative priorities drive the lopsided odds, though Rep. Rose's congressional profile and Fritts' party leadership provide niche support. Absent major announcements or scandals, her edge persists toward the August 2026 primary.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated Mar 26, 2026, 8:29 AM UTC

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Tennessee Governor Republican Primary Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 3 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Marsha Blackburn" at 89%, followed by "John Rose" at 6%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 89¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 89% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Tennessee Governor Republican Primary Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Dec 11, 2025. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Tennessee Governor Republican Primary Winner," browse the 3 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Tennessee Governor Republican Primary Winner" is "Marsha Blackburn" at 89%, meaning the market assigns a 89% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "John Rose" at 6%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Tennessee Governor Republican Primary Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.

Yes. You don't need to trade to stay informed. This page serves as a live tracker for "Tennessee Governor Republican Primary Winner." The outcome probabilities update in real-time as new trades come in. You can bookmark this page and check the comments section to see what other traders are saying. You can also use the time-range filters on the chart to see how the odds have shifted over time. It's a free, real-time window into what the market expects to happen.

Polymarket odds are set by real traders putting real money behind their beliefs, which tends to surface accurate predictions. “Tennessee Governor Republican Primary Winner” is still building its trading base, so the odds will become increasingly reliable as more participants enter the market. Prediction markets like Polymarket have a strong track record of accuracy, especially as events approach their resolution date. For example, Polymarket has a one month accuracy score of 94%. For the latest stats on Polymarket’s prediction accuracy, visit the accuracy page on Polymarket.

To place your first trade on "Tennessee Governor Republican Primary Winner," sign up for a free Polymarket account and fund it using crypto, a credit or debit card, or a bank transfer. Once your account is funded, return to this page, select the outcome you want to trade, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If you're new to prediction markets, click the "How it works" link at the top of any Polymarket page for a quick step-by-step walkthrough of how trading works.

On Polymarket, the price of each outcome represents the market's implied probability. A price of 89¢ for "Marsha Blackburn" in the "Tennessee Governor Republican Primary Winner" market means traders collectively believe there is roughly a 89% chance that "Marsha Blackburn" will be the correct result. If you buy "Yes" shares at 89¢ and the outcome is correct, you receive $1.00 per share — a profit of 11¢ per share. If incorrect, those shares are worth $0.

The "Tennessee Governor Republican Primary Winner" market is scheduled to resolve on or around Aug 6, 2026. This means trading will remain open and the odds will continue to shift as new information emerges until that date. The exact resolution timing depends on when the official result becomes available, as outlined in the "Rules" section on this page.

The "Tennessee Governor Republican Primary Winner" market was recently created. Be one of the first to share your analysis by posting a comment below, or check back as the market grows to read what other traders think. You can also view the "Activity" tab for a real-time feed of recent trades.

Polymarket is the world's largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge of real-world events. Traders buy and sell shares on outcomes for topics ranging from politics and elections to crypto, finance, sports, tech, and culture, including markets like "Tennessee Governor Republican Primary Winner." Prices reflect real-time, crowd-sourced probabilities backed by financial conviction, often providing faster and more accurate signals than polls, pundits, or traditional surveys.

Tennessee Governor Republican Primary Winner

Tennessee Governor Republican Primary Winner

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