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Politics·Primaries

Georgia Governor Democratic Primary Winner

Market icon
Politics·Primaries

Georgia Governor Democratic Primary Winner

Keisha Lance Bottoms 78%

Jason Esteves 15%

Geoff Duncan 5%

Mike Thurmond 4.9%

Polymarket

$114,726 Vol.

Keisha Lance Bottoms 78%

Jason Esteves 15%

Geoff Duncan 5%

Mike Thurmond 4.9%

Polymarket

$114,726 Vol.

Keisha Lance Bottoms

$20,275 Vol.

78%

Jason Esteves

$8,297 Vol.

15%

Geoff Duncan

$23,004 Vol.

5%

Mike Thurmond

$8,105 Vol.

5%

Ruwa Romman

$50,606 Vol.

<1%

Derrick Jackson

$2,060 Vol.

<1%

Olujimi Brown

$2,380 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Georgia, scheduled to take place on May 19, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Georgia Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Georgia Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Keisha Lance Bottoms holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for the Georgia Governor Democratic primary on May 19, reflecting her consistent polling edge and high name recognition as former Atlanta mayor and Biden advisor. A late March 20/20 Insights survey of likely voters showed her at 32%, ahead of Jason Esteves (14%), Geoff Duncan (12%, the former Republican lieutenant governor who recently switched parties), and Mike Thurmond (11%), with 30% undecided signaling a potential runoff under Georgia's majority-vote rules. Recent Emerson polling reinforced her advantage at 35%, while her Polymarket odds surged five points in the past week amid active campaigning and candidate qualifying finalized March 10, positioning her to consolidate support as early voting nears.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Georgia, scheduled to take place on May 19, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Georgia Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Georgia Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$114,726
End Date
May 19, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 5, 2025, 7:09 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Georgia, scheduled to take place on May 19, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Georgia Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Georgia Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Georgia, scheduled to take place on May 19, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Georgia Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Georgia Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Keisha Lance Bottoms holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for the Georgia Governor Democratic primary on May 19, reflecting her consistent polling edge and high name recognition as former Atlanta mayor and Biden advisor. A late March 20/20 Insights survey of likely voters showed her at 32%, ahead of Jason Esteves (14%), Geoff Duncan (12%, the former Republican lieutenant governor who recently switched parties), and Mike Thurmond (11%), with 30% undecided signaling a potential runoff under Georgia's majority-vote rules. Recent Emerson polling reinforced her advantage at 35%, while her Polymarket odds surged five points in the past week amid active campaigning and candidate qualifying finalized March 10, positioning her to consolidate support as early voting nears.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Georgia, scheduled to take place on May 19, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Georgia Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Georgia Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$114,726
End Date
May 19, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 5, 2025, 7:09 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Georgia, scheduled to take place on May 19, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Georgia Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Georgia Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Georgia Governor Democratic Primary Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Keisha Lance Bottoms" at 78%, followed by "Jason Esteves" at 14%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 78¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 78% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Georgia Governor Democratic Primary Winner" has generated $114.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 6, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Georgia Governor Democratic Primary Winner," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Georgia Governor Democratic Primary Winner" is "Keisha Lance Bottoms" at 78%, meaning the market assigns a 78% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Jason Esteves" at 14%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Georgia Governor Democratic Primary Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.