Market icon
Elections·Global Elections

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Market icon
Elections·Global Elections

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Gavin Newsom 24.3%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 8.3%

Jon Ossoff 5.6%

Kamala Harris 4.4%

Polymarket

$938,163,856 Vol.

Gavin Newsom 24.3%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 8.3%

Jon Ossoff 5.6%

Kamala Harris 4.4%

Polymarket

$938,163,856 Vol.

Market icon

Gavin Newsom

$16,616,153 Vol.

24%

Market icon

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

$6,156,499 Vol.

8%

Market icon

Jon Ossoff

$5,860,219 Vol.

6%

Market icon

Kamala Harris

$8,705,717 Vol.

4%

Market icon

Pete Buttigieg

$9,493,910 Vol.

4%

Market icon

Josh Shapiro

$5,888,359 Vol.

4%

Market icon

Andy Beshear

$6,246,972 Vol.

2%

Market icon

James Talarico

$3,731,051 Vol.

2%

Market icon

Jon Stewart

$9,996,582 Vol.

2%

Market icon

J.B. Pritzker

$11,680,046 Vol.

2%

Market icon

Mark Kelly

$11,018,190 Vol.

2%

Market icon

Ruben Gallego

$3,573,753 Vol.

2%

Market icon

Wes Moore

$13,497,944 Vol.

2%

Market icon

Gretchen Whitmer

$7,168,828 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Ro Khanna

$4,227,604 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Michelle Obama

$21,419,435 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Rahm Emanuel

$11,179,838 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Oprah Winfrey

$43,271,906 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Cory Booker

$21,248,568 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Stephen A. Smith

$13,837,649 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Mark Cuban

$17,728,657 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson

$8,746,568 Vol.

1%

Market icon

John Fetterman

$16,978,351 Vol.

1%

Market icon

LeBron James

$38,558,931 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Chris Murphy

$11,410,077 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Liz Cheney

$32,086,987 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Zohran Mamdani

$32,999,946 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Chelsea Clinton

$44,442,087 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Roy Cooper

$24,714,531 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Gina Raimondo

$27,361,932 Vol.

1%

Market icon

George Clooney

$37,252,521 Vol.

1%

Market icon

MrBeast

$35,239,382 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Hillary Clinton

$37,414,680 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Barack Obama

$25,734,586 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Tim Walz

$36,498,860 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Andrew Yang

$42,012,060 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Kim Kardashian

$32,876,854 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Jared Polis

$19,342,305 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Phil Murphy

$33,413,432 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Hunter Biden

$31,433,499 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Jasmine Crockett

$22,411,584 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Raphael Warnock

$24,547,971 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Bernie Sanders

$38,703,405 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Beto O’Rourke

$31,475,601 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.California Governor Gavin Newsom commands 24% trader consensus on Polymarket for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination, driven by his dominant performance in a March 12 POLITICO California primary poll trouncing Kamala Harris at home and heightened national profile from his February memoir "Young Man in a Hurry." Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez follows at 8%, lifted by her Munich Security Conference appearance but tempered by Democratic pragmatists mobilizing against progressive firebrands to prioritize electability. Jon Ossoff's 5.5% reflects Senate visibility, while Harris lags at 4.4% amid 2024 baggage despite leading some national primary polls. This wide-open field awaits 2026 midterm results in battleground states to consolidate support through fundraising leads, endorsements, and path-to-victory in early primaries like Iowa and New Hampshire.

California Governor Gavin Newsom commands 24% trader consensus on Polymarket for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination, driven by his dominant performance in a March 12 POLITICO California primary poll trouncing Kamala Harris at home and heightened national profile from his February memoir "Young Man in a Hurry." Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez follows at 8%, lifted by her Munich Security Conference appearance but tempered by Democratic pragmatists mobilizing against progressive firebrands to prioritize electability. Jon Ossoff's 5.5% reflects Senate visibility, while Harris lags at 4.4% amid 2024 baggage despite leading some national primary polls. This wide-open field awaits 2026 midterm results in battleground states to consolidate support through fundraising leads, endorsements, and path-to-victory in early primaries like Iowa and New Hampshire.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.California Governor Gavin Newsom commands 24% trader consensus on Polymarket for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination, driven by his dominant performance in a March 12 POLITICO California primary poll trouncing Kamala Harris at home and heightened national profile from his February memoir "Young Man in a Hurry." Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez follows at 8%, lifted by her Munich Security Conference appearance but tempered by Democratic pragmatists mobilizing against progressive firebrands to prioritize electability. Jon Ossoff's 5.5% reflects Senate visibility, while Harris lags at 4.4% amid 2024 baggage despite leading some national primary polls. This wide-open field awaits 2026 midterm results in battleground states to consolidate support through fundraising leads, endorsements, and path-to-victory in early primaries like Iowa and New Hampshire.

California Governor Gavin Newsom commands 24% trader consensus on Polymarket for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination, driven by his dominant performance in a March 12 POLITICO California primary poll trouncing Kamala Harris at home and heightened national profile from his February memoir "Young Man in a Hurry." Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez follows at 8%, lifted by her Munich Security Conference appearance but tempered by Democratic pragmatists mobilizing against progressive firebrands to prioritize electability. Jon Ossoff's 5.5% reflects Senate visibility, while Harris lags at 4.4% amid 2024 baggage despite leading some national primary polls. This wide-open field awaits 2026 midterm results in battleground states to consolidate support through fundraising leads, endorsements, and path-to-victory in early primaries like Iowa and New Hampshire.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

Related

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 44+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Gavin Newsom" at 24%, followed by "Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez" at 8%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 24¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 24% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028" has generated $938.2 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 11, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028," browse the 44+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028" is "Gavin Newsom" at 24%, meaning the market assigns a 24% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez" at 8%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.