Market icon
Politics·Primaries

Georgia Governor Democratic Primary Winner

Market icon
Politics·Primaries

Georgia Governor Democratic Primary Winner

Keisha Lance Bottoms 84%

Geoff Duncan 9%

Jason Esteves 7%

Ruwa Romman 1.2%

Polymarket

$106,885 Vol.

Keisha Lance Bottoms 84%

Geoff Duncan 9%

Jason Esteves 7%

Ruwa Romman 1.2%

Polymarket

$106,885 Vol.

Keisha Lance Bottoms

$17,274 Vol.

84%

Geoff Duncan

$22,064 Vol.

9%

Jason Esteves

$7,287 Vol.

7%

Ruwa Romman

$50,023 Vol.

1%

Mike Thurmond

$6,962 Vol.

1%

Derrick Jackson

$1,477 Vol.

<1%

Olujimi Brown

$1,798 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Georgia, scheduled to take place on May 19, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Georgia Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Georgia Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Keisha Lance Bottoms leads trader consensus at 83.5% implied probability for the Georgia Democratic gubernatorial primary on May 19, reflecting recent polls showing her at 35% support amid a crowded field of seven candidates, bolstered by her name recognition as former Atlanta mayor and Biden senior advisor. Early March surveys from Emerson and Atlanta News First post-candidate qualifying confirm her edge over Geoff Duncan (13%, a former Republican Lt. Gov. now running as Democrat after qualifying March 3) and Jason Esteves (state senator with prior endorsements), with undecided voters at 39% signaling room for shifts. Bottoms' active campaigning, including Athens visits and human rights events, has solidified her frontrunner status ahead of early voting starting April 27.

Keisha Lance Bottoms leads trader consensus at 83.5% implied probability for the Georgia Democratic gubernatorial primary on May 19, reflecting recent polls showing her at 35% support amid a crowded field of seven candidates, bolstered by her name recognition as former Atlanta mayor and Biden senior advisor. Early March surveys from Emerson and Atlanta News First post-candidate qualifying confirm her edge over Geoff Duncan (13%, a former Republican Lt. Gov. now running as Democrat after qualifying March 3) and Jason Esteves (state senator with prior endorsements), with undecided voters at 39% signaling room for shifts. Bottoms' active campaigning, including Athens visits and human rights events, has solidified her frontrunner status ahead of early voting starting April 27.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Georgia, scheduled to take place on May 19, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Georgia Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Georgia Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Keisha Lance Bottoms leads trader consensus at 83.5% implied probability for the Georgia Democratic gubernatorial primary on May 19, reflecting recent polls showing her at 35% support amid a crowded field of seven candidates, bolstered by her name recognition as former Atlanta mayor and Biden senior advisor. Early March surveys from Emerson and Atlanta News First post-candidate qualifying confirm her edge over Geoff Duncan (13%, a former Republican Lt. Gov. now running as Democrat after qualifying March 3) and Jason Esteves (state senator with prior endorsements), with undecided voters at 39% signaling room for shifts. Bottoms' active campaigning, including Athens visits and human rights events, has solidified her frontrunner status ahead of early voting starting April 27.

Keisha Lance Bottoms leads trader consensus at 83.5% implied probability for the Georgia Democratic gubernatorial primary on May 19, reflecting recent polls showing her at 35% support amid a crowded field of seven candidates, bolstered by her name recognition as former Atlanta mayor and Biden senior advisor. Early March surveys from Emerson and Atlanta News First post-candidate qualifying confirm her edge over Geoff Duncan (13%, a former Republican Lt. Gov. now running as Democrat after qualifying March 3) and Jason Esteves (state senator with prior endorsements), with undecided voters at 39% signaling room for shifts. Bottoms' active campaigning, including Athens visits and human rights events, has solidified her frontrunner status ahead of early voting starting April 27.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

Related

Market icon

Will Rick Jackson win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?

52%
Market icon

Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026?

60%
Market icon

Will Doug Jones win the 2026 Alabama Governor Democratic primary election?

90%

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Georgia Governor Democratic Primary Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Keisha Lance Bottoms" at 84%, followed by "Geoff Duncan" at 9%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 84¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 84% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Georgia Governor Democratic Primary Winner" has generated $106.9K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 6, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Georgia Governor Democratic Primary Winner," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Georgia Governor Democratic Primary Winner" is "Keisha Lance Bottoms" at 84%, meaning the market assigns a 84% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Geoff Duncan" at 9%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Georgia Governor Democratic Primary Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.