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Politics·Primaries

Oklahoma Governor Republican Primary Winner

Market icon
Politics·Primaries

Oklahoma Governor Republican Primary Winner

Genter Drummond 44%

Mike Mazzei 31.7%

Charles McCall 16%

Chip Keating 12.0%

Polymarket

$246,538 Vol.

Genter Drummond 44%

Mike Mazzei 31.7%

Charles McCall 16%

Chip Keating 12.0%

Polymarket

$246,538 Vol.

Genter Drummond

$112,622 Vol.

44%

Mike Mazzei

$2,727 Vol.

32%

Charles McCall

$112,299 Vol.

16%

Chip Keating

$2,401 Vol.

12%

Matt Pinnell

$6,561 Vol.

1%

Ryan Walters

$5,180 Vol.

1%

Jake Merrick

$3,283 Vol.

<1%

Leisa Mitchell Haynes

$1,467 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Oklahoma, scheduled to take place on June 16, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Oklahoma Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Oklahoma Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Trader consensus on Polymarket gives Oklahoma Attorney General Gentner Drummond a 42% implied probability to win the June 16 Republican primary for governor, mirroring his steady lead in the February Cole Hargrave Snodgrass poll at 36%, while state Sen. Mike Mazzei has surged to 32% amid gains from TV ads emphasizing property tax cuts. Former House Speaker Charles McCall holds 16% buoyed by recent culture-war appeals like his banana ad opposing transgender surgeries for minors, and businessman Chip Keating trails at 12% with self-funding efforts. The fragmented field keeps the race tight with no majority likely, setting up a potential runoff; separation could come from endorsements, fundraising disclosures due soon after today's filing deadline, or upcoming debates targeting key GOP primary voters focused on taxes, education, and social issues.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Oklahoma, scheduled to take place on June 16, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Oklahoma Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Oklahoma Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$246,538
End Date
Jun 16, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 4, 2025, 6:27 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Oklahoma, scheduled to take place on June 16, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Oklahoma Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Oklahoma Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Oklahoma, scheduled to take place on June 16, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Oklahoma Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Oklahoma Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Trader consensus on Polymarket gives Oklahoma Attorney General Gentner Drummond a 42% implied probability to win the June 16 Republican primary for governor, mirroring his steady lead in the February Cole Hargrave Snodgrass poll at 36%, while state Sen. Mike Mazzei has surged to 32% amid gains from TV ads emphasizing property tax cuts. Former House Speaker Charles McCall holds 16% buoyed by recent culture-war appeals like his banana ad opposing transgender surgeries for minors, and businessman Chip Keating trails at 12% with self-funding efforts. The fragmented field keeps the race tight with no majority likely, setting up a potential runoff; separation could come from endorsements, fundraising disclosures due soon after today's filing deadline, or upcoming debates targeting key GOP primary voters focused on taxes, education, and social issues.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Oklahoma, scheduled to take place on June 16, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Oklahoma Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Oklahoma Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$246,538
End Date
Jun 16, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 4, 2025, 6:27 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Oklahoma, scheduled to take place on June 16, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Oklahoma Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Oklahoma Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Oklahoma Governor Republican Primary Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 8 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Genter Drummond" at 44%, followed by "Mike Mazzei" at 32%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 44¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 44% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Oklahoma Governor Republican Primary Winner" has generated $246.5K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 4, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Oklahoma Governor Republican Primary Winner," browse the 8 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Oklahoma Governor Republican Primary Winner" is "Genter Drummond" at 44%, meaning the market assigns a 44% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Mike Mazzei" at 32%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Oklahoma Governor Republican Primary Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.