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Politics·Primaries

NE-02 Republican Primary Winner

Market icon
Politics·Primaries

NE-02 Republican Primary Winner

Brinker Harding 94%

Dan Frei 4.6%

Brett Lindstrom 1.4%

Polymarket

$12,382 Vol.

Brinker Harding 94%

Dan Frei 4.6%

Brett Lindstrom 1.4%

Polymarket

$12,382 Vol.

Brinker Harding

$3,536 Vol.

94%

Dan Frei

$7,772 Vol.

5%

Brett Lindstrom

$1,074 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the NE-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 12, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Omaha City Councilman Brinker Harding commands 94% trader consensus as the NE-02 Republican primary winner following former state Sen. Brett Lindstrom's January 30 withdrawal, citing political divisiveness, which cleared the field ahead of the March 2 filing deadline. No major challengers emerged, leaving only minor contender Dan Frei—previously a 2024 primary opponent of retiring Rep. Don Bacon—with residual support at 4.7%, while Lindstrom lingers at 1.5% despite exiting. Harding's commanding position stems from his early entry, fundraising dominance, and key endorsements from Bacon and Gov. Jim Pillen, fostering GOP unity in this open battleground district. With the May 12 primary five weeks away and no polls showing competition, upset risks remain low barring scandals, health issues, or a late write-in surge.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the NE-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 12, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$12,382
End Date
May 12, 2026
Market Opened
Nov 25, 2025, 6:50 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the NE-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 12, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the NE-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 12, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Omaha City Councilman Brinker Harding commands 94% trader consensus as the NE-02 Republican primary winner following former state Sen. Brett Lindstrom's January 30 withdrawal, citing political divisiveness, which cleared the field ahead of the March 2 filing deadline. No major challengers emerged, leaving only minor contender Dan Frei—previously a 2024 primary opponent of retiring Rep. Don Bacon—with residual support at 4.7%, while Lindstrom lingers at 1.5% despite exiting. Harding's commanding position stems from his early entry, fundraising dominance, and key endorsements from Bacon and Gov. Jim Pillen, fostering GOP unity in this open battleground district. With the May 12 primary five weeks away and no polls showing competition, upset risks remain low barring scandals, health issues, or a late write-in surge.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the NE-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 12, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$12,382
End Date
May 12, 2026
Market Opened
Nov 25, 2025, 6:50 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the NE-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 12, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"NE-02 Republican Primary Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 3 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Brinker Harding" at 94%, followed by "Dan Frei" at 5%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 94¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 94% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "NE-02 Republican Primary Winner" has generated $12.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 26, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "NE-02 Republican Primary Winner," browse the 3 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "NE-02 Republican Primary Winner" is "Brinker Harding" at 94%, meaning the market assigns a 94% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Dan Frei" at 5%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "NE-02 Republican Primary Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.