President Trump's recent statements on March 31, signaling U.S. forces could withdraw from Iran "very soon"—potentially within two to three weeks, even without securing the Strait of Hormuz—have fueled trader optimism for an imminent announcement ending military operations launched February 28 with massive U.S.-Israeli airstrikes on Iranian missile sites, navy, and air defenses. Iran's rejection of a 15-point U.S. ceasefire proposal last week, coupled with its March 31 oil tanker strike amid ongoing retaliatory attacks on Gulf states, sustains uncertainty, while White House briefings indicate no ground invasion decision and readiness to curtail strikes. Traders monitor Trump's planned national address and diplomatic signals for de-escalation, against persistent escalation risks from proxy actions and nuclear concerns.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by ...?
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by ...?
$9,544,783 Vol.
Apr 15, 2026
April 7
10%
April 15
23%
April 30
54%
June 30
78%
$9,544,783 Vol.
April 7
$539,129 Vol.
10%
April 15
$1,148,716 Vol.
23%
April 30
$1,723,548 Vol.
54%
June 30
$768,766 Vol.
78%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Trump, the US government, or the military publicly and officially announce that their military operations against Iran, initiated on February 28, 2026, have concluded by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Qualifying statements must clearly indicate that the operation has ended. Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources or leaks will not qualify.
Written public statements from Donald Trump (e.g. posts from his personal Truth Social account), will count. Videos posted on his social media accounts will also qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the US government and/or its official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Trump, the US government, or the military publicly and officially announce that their military operations against Iran, initiated on February 28, 2026, have concluded by the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Qualifying statements must clearly indicate that the operation has ended. Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources or leaks will not qualify.
Written public statements from Donald Trump (e.g. posts from his personal Truth Social account), will count. Videos posted on his social media accounts will also qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the US government and/or its official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Trump's recent statements on March 31, signaling U.S. forces could withdraw from Iran "very soon"—potentially within two to three weeks, even without securing the Strait of Hormuz—have fueled trader optimism for an imminent announcement ending military operations launched February 28 with massive U.S.-Israeli airstrikes on Iranian missile sites, navy, and air defenses. Iran's rejection of a 15-point U.S. ceasefire proposal last week, coupled with its March 31 oil tanker strike amid ongoing retaliatory attacks on Gulf states, sustains uncertainty, while White House briefings indicate no ground invasion decision and readiness to curtail strikes. Traders monitor Trump's planned national address and diplomatic signals for de-escalation, against persistent escalation risks from proxy actions and nuclear concerns.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Trump, the US government, or the military publicly and officially announce that their military operations against Iran, initiated on February 28, 2026, have concluded by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Qualifying statements must clearly indicate that the operation has ended. Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources or leaks will not qualify.
Written public statements from Donald Trump (e.g. posts from his personal Truth Social account), will count. Videos posted on his social media accounts will also qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the US government and/or its official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Qualifying statements must clearly indicate that the operation has ended. Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources or leaks will not qualify.
Written public statements from Donald Trump (e.g. posts from his personal Truth Social account), will count. Videos posted on his social media accounts will also qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the US government and/or its official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Mar 20, 2026, 11:46 AM ET
Volume
$9,544,783End Date
Jun 30, 2026Market Opened
Mar 20, 2026, 11:46 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Trump, the US government, or the military publicly and officially announce that their military operations against Iran, initiated on February 28, 2026, have concluded by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Qualifying statements must clearly indicate that the operation has ended. Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources or leaks will not qualify.
Written public statements from Donald Trump (e.g. posts from his personal Truth Social account), will count. Videos posted on his social media accounts will also qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the US government and/or its official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Trump, the US government, or the military publicly and officially announce that their military operations against Iran, initiated on February 28, 2026, have concluded by the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Qualifying statements must clearly indicate that the operation has ended. Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources or leaks will not qualify.
Written public statements from Donald Trump (e.g. posts from his personal Truth Social account), will count. Videos posted on his social media accounts will also qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the US government and/or its official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Trump's recent statements on March 31, signaling U.S. forces could withdraw from Iran "very soon"—potentially within two to three weeks, even without securing the Strait of Hormuz—have fueled trader optimism for an imminent announcement ending military operations launched February 28 with massive U.S.-Israeli airstrikes on Iranian missile sites, navy, and air defenses. Iran's rejection of a 15-point U.S. ceasefire proposal last week, coupled with its March 31 oil tanker strike amid ongoing retaliatory attacks on Gulf states, sustains uncertainty, while White House briefings indicate no ground invasion decision and readiness to curtail strikes. Traders monitor Trump's planned national address and diplomatic signals for de-escalation, against persistent escalation risks from proxy actions and nuclear concerns.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Trump, the US government, or the military publicly and officially announce that their military operations against Iran, initiated on February 28, 2026, have concluded by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Qualifying statements must clearly indicate that the operation has ended. Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources or leaks will not qualify.
Written public statements from Donald Trump (e.g. posts from his personal Truth Social account), will count. Videos posted on his social media accounts will also qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the US government and/or its official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Qualifying statements must clearly indicate that the operation has ended. Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources or leaks will not qualify.
Written public statements from Donald Trump (e.g. posts from his personal Truth Social account), will count. Videos posted on his social media accounts will also qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the US government and/or its official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$9,544,783End Date
Jun 30, 2026Market Opened
Mar 20, 2026, 11:46 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Trump's recent statements on March 31, signaling U.S. forces could withdraw from Iran "very soon"—potentially within two to three weeks, even without securing the Strait of Hormuz—have fueled trader optimism for an imminent announcement ending military operations launched February 28 with massive U.S.-Israeli airstrikes on Iranian missile sites, navy, and air defenses. Iran's rejection of a 15-point U.S. ceasefire proposal last week, coupled with its March 31 oil tanker strike amid ongoing retaliatory attacks on Gulf states, sustains uncertainty, while White House briefings indicate no ground invasion decision and readiness to curtail strikes. Traders monitor Trump's planned national address and diplomatic signals for de-escalation, against persistent escalation risks from proxy actions and nuclear concerns.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions