Note on Middle East Markets: The promise of prediction markets is to harness the wisdom of the crowd to create accurate, unbiased forecasts for the most important events to society. That ability is particularly invaluable in gut-wrenching times like today. After discussing with those directly affected by the attacks, who had dozens of questions, we realized that prediction markets could give them the answers they needed in ways TV news and 𝕏 could not.

Note: As with all markets currently displayed on Polymarket, there are no fees on this market.

Market icon

Will Trump and Ahmed al-Sharaa hug on Monday?

$22,410 Vol.

<1% chance

Rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump and Ahmed al-Sharaa hug on November 10, 2025 (ET). Any hug recorded on that date (ET) will qualify. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

Video or photographic evidence must be released within the market’s time frame to qualify.

A qualifying hug is defined as an in-person greeting or gesture involving the two individuals wrapping at least one arm around the other individual’s shoulders or back while facing each other in a manner consistent with a hug.

Gestures where only one individual places an arm around the other, or where both individuals place arms around each other while standing side-by-side and not facing each other, will not qualify as a hug. Brief incidental contact, such as a pat on the back or shoulder without arm-wrapping from both parties, will similarly not qualify.

The resolution source for this market will be photographic or video evidence.
Volume
$22,410
End Date
Nov 10, 2025
Created At
Nov 10, 2025, 4:23 AM UTC

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

shield

Beware of external links.

Note on Middle East Markets: The promise of prediction markets is to harness the wisdom of the crowd to create accurate, unbiased forecasts for the most important events to society. That ability is particularly invaluable in gut-wrenching times like today. After discussing with those directly affected by the attacks, who had dozens of questions, we realized that prediction markets could give them the answers they needed in ways TV news and 𝕏 could not.

Note: As with all markets currently displayed on Polymarket, there are no fees on this market.

$22,410 Vol.

Market icon

Will Trump and Ahmed al-Sharaa hug on Monday?

<1% chance

About

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump and Ahmed al-Sharaa hug on November 10, 2025 (ET). Any hug recorded on that date (ET) will qualify. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

Video or photographic evidence must be released within the market’s time frame to qualify.

A qualifying hug is defined as an in-person greeting or gesture involving the two individuals wrapping at least one arm around the other individual’s shoulders or back while facing each other in a manner consistent with a hug.

Gestures where only one individual places an arm around the other, or where both individuals place arms around each other while standing side-by-side and not facing each other, will not qualify as a hug. Brief incidental contact, such as a pat on the back or shoulder without arm-wrapping from both parties, will similarly not qualify.

The resolution source for this market will be photographic or video evidence.
Volume
$22,410
End Date
Nov 10, 2025
Created At
Nov 10, 2025, 4:23 AM UTC

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

shield

Beware of external links.