Note on Middle East Markets: The promise of prediction markets is to harness the wisdom of the crowd to create accurate, unbiased forecasts for the most important events to society. That ability is particularly invaluable in gut-wrenching times like today. After discussing with those directly affected by the attacks, who had dozens of questions, we realized that prediction markets could give them the answers they needed in ways TV news and Twitter could not.
Note: As with all markets currently displayed on Polymarket, there are no fees on this market.
Will Israel annex Gazan territory before July?
$15,190 Vol.
Jun 30, 2025
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel officially annexes any territory in the Gaza Strip between February 10 and June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over territory in the Gaza Strip they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the 1980 Jerusalem Law, and the Golan Heights Law. However, the establishment of settlements, or Israeli administration of territory without formal annexation will not alone qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over territory in the Gaza Strip they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the 1980 Jerusalem Law, and the Golan Heights Law. However, the establishment of settlements, or Israeli administration of territory without formal annexation will not alone qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$15,190
End Date
Jun 30, 2025
Resolver
0x6A9D222616...Comments (13)
Top Holders
Activity
Related
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Amount
$