Israel and Lebanon are holding a second round of rare direct talks in Washington today, building on their historic April 14 meeting—the first since 1983—that produced a 10-day ceasefire with Hezbollah effective April 16 amid fragile northern border security. Lebanon seeks a 20-40 day extension and an end to Israeli demolitions in southern villages, while Israel prioritizes Hezbollah disarmament and dismantling militant infrastructure before broader peace negotiations. U.S. mediation under Secretary Rubio facilitates progress, though sporadic strikes persist, underscoring tensions; trader consensus reflects optimism for near-term diplomacy but uncertainty over long-term de-escalation and coalition pressures in Beirut.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedIsrael x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by...?
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by...?
$129,292 Vol.
May 31, 2026
April 26
Yes
May 31
Yes
$129,292 Vol.
April 26
$93,143 Vol.
Yes
May 31
$36,149 Vol.
Yes
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Israel and Lebanon by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Lebanon relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the Israel and Lebanon, and a consensus of credible reporting.Israel and Lebanon are holding a second round of rare direct talks in Washington today, building on their historic April 14 meeting—the first since 1983—that produced a 10-day ceasefire with Hezbollah effective April 16 amid fragile northern border security. Lebanon seeks a 20-40 day extension and an end to Israeli demolitions in southern villages, while Israel prioritizes Hezbollah disarmament and dismantling militant infrastructure before broader peace negotiations. U.S. mediation under Secretary Rubio facilitates progress, though sporadic strikes persist, underscoring tensions; trader consensus reflects optimism for near-term diplomacy but uncertainty over long-term de-escalation and coalition pressures in Beirut.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Israel and Lebanon by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Lebanon relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the Israel and Lebanon, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Lebanon relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the Israel and Lebanon, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: Apr 17, 2026, 6:35 PM ET
Volume
$129,292End Date
May 31, 2026Market Opened
Apr 17, 2026, 6:35 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Israel and Lebanon by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Lebanon relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the Israel and Lebanon, and a consensus of credible reporting.Israel and Lebanon are holding a second round of rare direct talks in Washington today, building on their historic April 14 meeting—the first since 1983—that produced a 10-day ceasefire with Hezbollah effective April 16 amid fragile northern border security. Lebanon seeks a 20-40 day extension and an end to Israeli demolitions in southern villages, while Israel prioritizes Hezbollah disarmament and dismantling militant infrastructure before broader peace negotiations. U.S. mediation under Secretary Rubio facilitates progress, though sporadic strikes persist, underscoring tensions; trader consensus reflects optimism for near-term diplomacy but uncertainty over long-term de-escalation and coalition pressures in Beirut.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Israel and Lebanon by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Lebanon relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the Israel and Lebanon, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Lebanon relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the Israel and Lebanon, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$129,292End Date
May 31, 2026Market Opened
Apr 17, 2026, 6:35 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
Israel and Lebanon are holding a second round of rare direct talks in Washington today, building on their historic April 14 meeting—the first since 1983—that produced a 10-day ceasefire with Hezbollah effective April 16 amid fragile northern border security. Lebanon seeks a 20-40 day extension and an end to Israeli demolitions in southern villages, while Israel prioritizes Hezbollah disarmament and dismantling militant infrastructure before broader peace negotiations. U.S. mediation under Secretary Rubio facilitates progress, though sporadic strikes persist, underscoring tensions; trader consensus reflects optimism for near-term diplomacy but uncertainty over long-term de-escalation and coalition pressures in Beirut.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions