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Who will qualify for the second round of the Portugal Presidential Election?

$1,893,126 Vol.

Jan 18, 2026

Rules

Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Portugal on 18 or 25 January 2026, with a possible second round on 8 or 15 February 2026. A second round will be held if no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. The two candidates with the greatest number of votes in the first round will advance to the second round.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidates that qualify for the second round of this election.

If the result of the first round of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No".

If a candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Portuguese government, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (https://www.cne.pt/).
Volume
$1,893,126
End Date
Jan 18, 2026
Created At
Nov 26, 2025, 10:04 AM ET
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Beware of external links.

Market icon

Who will qualify for the second round of the Portugal Presidential Election?

$1,893,126 Vol.

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António José Seguro (IND)

$241,327 Vol.

92%

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André Ventura (CH)

$434,113 Vol.

69%

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João Cotrim de Figueiredo

$542,757 Vol.

35%

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Luís Marques Mendes (PSD)

$422,601 Vol.

3%

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Henrique Gouveia e Melo (IND)

$133,461 Vol.

2%

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José Cardoso (PLS)

$2,295 Vol.

<1%

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Tim Vieira (IND)

$1,610 Vol.

<1%

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Manuela Magno (IND)

$2,750 Vol.

<1%

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Joana Amaral Dias (ADN)

$33,503 Vol.

<1%

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Orlando Cruz (IND)

$1,823 Vol.

<1%

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Raul Perestrello (IND)

$2,417 Vol.

<1%

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Pedro Tinoco de Faria (IND)

$568 Vol.

<1%

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Ângela Maryah (IND)

$1,427 Vol.

<1%

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Pedro Passos Coelho (PSD)

$521 Vol.

<1%

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Aristides Teixeira (IND)

$1,923 Vol.

<1%

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Vitorino Silva (IND)

$2,196 Vol.

<1%

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António Filipe (PCP)

$2,982 Vol.

<1%

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Jorge Pinto

$3,907 Vol.

<1%

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André Pestana (IND)

$3,685 Vol.

<1%

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Catarina Martins

$11,018 Vol.

<1%

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Humberto Correia

$15,692 Vol.

<1%

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Manuel João Vieira

$30,552 Vol.

<1%

About

Volume
$1,893,126
End Date
Jan 18, 2026
Created At
Nov 26, 2025, 10:04 AM ET
shield

Beware of external links.