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Politics·Primaries

Who will advance from the Alaska Governor primary?

Market icon
Politics·Primaries

Who will advance from the Alaska Governor primary?

$35,743 Vol.

Aug 18, 2026
Polymarket

$35,743 Vol.

Polymarket

Tom Begich

$6,996 Vol.

80%

Bernadette Wilson

$13,820 Vol.

66%

Dave Bronson

$1,481 Vol.

52%

Click Bishop

$0 Vol.

43%

Treg Taylor

$0 Vol.

41%

Adam Crum

$0 Vol.

21%

Nancy Dahlstrom

$0 Vol.

16%

Hank Kroll

$0 Vol.

14%

Matt Claman

$0 Vol.

11%

Matt Heilala

$2,602 Vol.

10%

Edna DeVries

$10,843 Vol.

10%

Shelley Hughes

$0 Vol.

9%

James Parkin

$0 Vol.

6%

The non-partisan primary election for Governor of Alaska is scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The top four candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of Alaska. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of Alaska. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2026 Alaska gubernatorial primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of Alaska as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the State of Alaska Division of Elections.Incumbent Republican Gov. Mike Dunleavy's term limit has opened a chaotic race with over 18 candidates competing in Alaska's top-four nonpartisan primary on August 18, 2026, where the leading four advance to the general election regardless of party affiliation. A late February Lake Research Partners poll showed Democrat Tom Begich atop first-round support at 22% amid 23% undecided voters, followed by Republican Bernadette Wilson at 14% and Anchorage Mayor Dave Bronson at 8%, reflecting his fundraising strength among early Republican frontrunners. Anchorage attorney Gregg Brelsford's independent filing on March 25 further crowded the field, as traders eye the June 1 filing deadline, additional polls, and endorsements that could consolidate support in this fragmented contest.

Incumbent Republican Gov. Mike Dunleavy's term limit has opened a chaotic race with over 18 candidates competing in Alaska's top-four nonpartisan primary on August 18, 2026, where the leading four advance to the general election regardless of party affiliation. A late February Lake Research Partners poll showed Democrat Tom Begich atop first-round support at 22% amid 23% undecided voters, followed by Republican Bernadette Wilson at 14% and Anchorage Mayor Dave Bronson at 8%, reflecting his fundraising strength among early Republican frontrunners. Anchorage attorney Gregg Brelsford's independent filing on March 25 further crowded the field, as traders eye the June 1 filing deadline, additional polls, and endorsements that could consolidate support in this fragmented contest.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
The non-partisan primary election for Governor of Alaska is scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The top four candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of Alaska. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of Alaska. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2026 Alaska gubernatorial primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of Alaska as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the State of Alaska Division of Elections.Incumbent Republican Gov. Mike Dunleavy's term limit has opened a chaotic race with over 18 candidates competing in Alaska's top-four nonpartisan primary on August 18, 2026, where the leading four advance to the general election regardless of party affiliation. A late February Lake Research Partners poll showed Democrat Tom Begich atop first-round support at 22% amid 23% undecided voters, followed by Republican Bernadette Wilson at 14% and Anchorage Mayor Dave Bronson at 8%, reflecting his fundraising strength among early Republican frontrunners. Anchorage attorney Gregg Brelsford's independent filing on March 25 further crowded the field, as traders eye the June 1 filing deadline, additional polls, and endorsements that could consolidate support in this fragmented contest.

Incumbent Republican Gov. Mike Dunleavy's term limit has opened a chaotic race with over 18 candidates competing in Alaska's top-four nonpartisan primary on August 18, 2026, where the leading four advance to the general election regardless of party affiliation. A late February Lake Research Partners poll showed Democrat Tom Begich atop first-round support at 22% amid 23% undecided voters, followed by Republican Bernadette Wilson at 14% and Anchorage Mayor Dave Bronson at 8%, reflecting his fundraising strength among early Republican frontrunners. Anchorage attorney Gregg Brelsford's independent filing on March 25 further crowded the field, as traders eye the June 1 filing deadline, additional polls, and endorsements that could consolidate support in this fragmented contest.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Who will advance from the Alaska Governor primary?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 13 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Tom Begich" at 80%, followed by "Bernadette Wilson" at 66%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 80¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 80% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Who will advance from the Alaska Governor primary?" has generated $35.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 10, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Who will advance from the Alaska Governor primary?," browse the 13 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Who will advance from the Alaska Governor primary?" is "Tom Begich" at 80%, meaning the market assigns a 80% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Bernadette Wilson" at 66%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Who will advance from the Alaska Governor primary?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.