Recent polls from Ipsos, Datum Internacional, and CPI conducted in late March position Keiko Fujimori and Rafael López Aliaga as frontrunners in Peru's crowded first-round presidential field ahead of the April 12 vote, with each garnering 10-13% intended support amid 35 candidates and 20-30% undecided or blank voters. This fragmentation drives trader pricing of "Other" at the top while favoring a Fujimori-López Aliaga runoff, as no one nears the 50% threshold for outright victory. Alfonso López Chau's recent gains to 6% and Jorge Nieto's uptick bolster alternative pairings, with final televised debates and late voter shifts posing risks to the leaders before a potential June 7 runoff.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedOther 45.9%
López Aliaga & Fujimori 32%
López Aliaga & Sánchez Palomino 10%
Fujimori & Nieto 7.9%
$147,732 Vol.
$147,732 Vol.
Apr 12, 2026
Other
46%
López Aliaga & Fujimori
32%
López Aliaga & Sánchez Palomino
10%
Fujimori & Nieto
8%
López Aliaga & López Chau
2%
López Chau & Fujimori
2%
López Aliaga & Nieto
2%
López Chau & Sánchez Palomino
1%
López Chau & Nieto
<1%
López Aliaga & Grozo
<1%
Other 45.9%
López Aliaga & Fujimori 32%
López Aliaga & Sánchez Palomino 10%
Fujimori & Nieto 7.9%
$147,732 Vol.
$147,732 Vol.
Apr 12, 2026
Other
$7,957 Vol.
46%
López Aliaga & Fujimori
$21,175 Vol.
32%
López Aliaga & Sánchez Palomino
$8,049 Vol.
10%
Fujimori & Nieto
$60,727 Vol.
8%
López Aliaga & López Chau
$2,704 Vol.
2%
López Chau & Fujimori
$38,432 Vol.
2%
López Aliaga & Nieto
$2,656 Vol.
2%
López Chau & Sánchez Palomino
$3,098 Vol.
1%
López Chau & Nieto
$1,658 Vol.
<1%
López Aliaga & Grozo
$1,275 Vol.
<1%
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.
This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates who advance to the runoff of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election.
If a different combination of candidates than those listed below advances to the runoff, if no runoff is being held, for example, because a candidate wins the first round outright, or if the candidates of the specified election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).Recent polls from Ipsos, Datum Internacional, and CPI conducted in late March position Keiko Fujimori and Rafael López Aliaga as frontrunners in Peru's crowded first-round presidential field ahead of the April 12 vote, with each garnering 10-13% intended support amid 35 candidates and 20-30% undecided or blank voters. This fragmentation drives trader pricing of "Other" at the top while favoring a Fujimori-López Aliaga runoff, as no one nears the 50% threshold for outright victory. Alfonso López Chau's recent gains to 6% and Jorge Nieto's uptick bolster alternative pairings, with final televised debates and late voter shifts posing risks to the leaders before a potential June 7 runoff.
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.
This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates who advance to the runoff of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election.
If a different combination of candidates than those listed below advances to the runoff, if no runoff is being held, for example, because a candidate wins the first round outright, or if the candidates of the specified election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).
This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates who advance to the runoff of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election.
If a different combination of candidates than those listed below advances to the runoff, if no runoff is being held, for example, because a candidate wins the first round outright, or if the candidates of the specified election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).
Market Opened: Mar 23, 2026, 2:03 PM ET
Volume
$147,732End Date
Apr 12, 2026Market Opened
Mar 23, 2026, 2:03 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.
This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates who advance to the runoff of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election.
If a different combination of candidates than those listed below advances to the runoff, if no runoff is being held, for example, because a candidate wins the first round outright, or if the candidates of the specified election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).Recent polls from Ipsos, Datum Internacional, and CPI conducted in late March position Keiko Fujimori and Rafael López Aliaga as frontrunners in Peru's crowded first-round presidential field ahead of the April 12 vote, with each garnering 10-13% intended support amid 35 candidates and 20-30% undecided or blank voters. This fragmentation drives trader pricing of "Other" at the top while favoring a Fujimori-López Aliaga runoff, as no one nears the 50% threshold for outright victory. Alfonso López Chau's recent gains to 6% and Jorge Nieto's uptick bolster alternative pairings, with final televised debates and late voter shifts posing risks to the leaders before a potential June 7 runoff.
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.
This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates who advance to the runoff of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election.
If a different combination of candidates than those listed below advances to the runoff, if no runoff is being held, for example, because a candidate wins the first round outright, or if the candidates of the specified election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).
This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates who advance to the runoff of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election.
If a different combination of candidates than those listed below advances to the runoff, if no runoff is being held, for example, because a candidate wins the first round outright, or if the candidates of the specified election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).
Volume
$147,732End Date
Apr 12, 2026Market Opened
Mar 23, 2026, 2:03 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls from Ipsos, Datum Internacional, and CPI conducted in late March position Keiko Fujimori and Rafael López Aliaga as frontrunners in Peru's crowded first-round presidential field ahead of the April 12 vote, with each garnering 10-13% intended support amid 35 candidates and 20-30% undecided or blank voters. This fragmentation drives trader pricing of "Other" at the top while favoring a Fujimori-López Aliaga runoff, as no one nears the 50% threshold for outright victory. Alfonso López Chau's recent gains to 6% and Jorge Nieto's uptick bolster alternative pairings, with final televised debates and late voter shifts posing risks to the leaders before a potential June 7 runoff.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedRelated
Will Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
48%
Will Carlos Álvarez finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
27%
Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
39%
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