With the March 31, 2026, deadline now passed without any announced Russia-Ukraine ceasefire, traders reflect near-unanimous consensus on "No" amid persistent frontline escalations and diplomatic stalemates. Russian strikes on Ukrainian cities killed at least four civilians on March 28, while intensified ground offensives continued through late March per Ukrainian Commander-in-Chief Oleksandr Syrskyi's reports. Zelenskyy's Easter truce proposal was swiftly dismissed by the Kremlin, which demands territorial concessions including eastern regions—terms Kyiv rejects—following a February trilateral talks breakdown and a March "situational pause" in US-brokered negotiations. Only an extraordinary, unverified retroactive agreement or redefinition of terms could alter resolution, though none has emerged.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
$0.00 Vol.
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Mar 31, 2026
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Mar 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between Russia and Ukraine by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Only ceasefires which constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify. Ceasefires which only apply to energy infrastructure, the Black Sea, or other similar agreements will not qualify.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both Russia and Ukraine; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine has been reached will suffice.With the March 31, 2026, deadline now passed without any announced Russia-Ukraine ceasefire, traders reflect near-unanimous consensus on "No" amid persistent frontline escalations and diplomatic stalemates. Russian strikes on Ukrainian cities killed at least four civilians on March 28, while intensified ground offensives continued through late March per Ukrainian Commander-in-Chief Oleksandr Syrskyi's reports. Zelenskyy's Easter truce proposal was swiftly dismissed by the Kremlin, which demands territorial concessions including eastern regions—terms Kyiv rejects—following a February trilateral talks breakdown and a March "situational pause" in US-brokered negotiations. Only an extraordinary, unverified retroactive agreement or redefinition of terms could alter resolution, though none has emerged.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between Russia and Ukraine by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Only ceasefires which constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify. Ceasefires which only apply to energy infrastructure, the Black Sea, or other similar agreements will not qualify.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both Russia and Ukraine; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine has been reached will suffice.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Only ceasefires which constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify. Ceasefires which only apply to energy infrastructure, the Black Sea, or other similar agreements will not qualify.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both Russia and Ukraine; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine has been reached will suffice.
Market Opened: Jul 10, 2025, 12:43 PM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Mar 31, 2026Market Opened
Jul 10, 2025, 12:43 PM ETResolver
0x157Ce2d67...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between Russia and Ukraine by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Only ceasefires which constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify. Ceasefires which only apply to energy infrastructure, the Black Sea, or other similar agreements will not qualify.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both Russia and Ukraine; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine has been reached will suffice.With the March 31, 2026, deadline now passed without any announced Russia-Ukraine ceasefire, traders reflect near-unanimous consensus on "No" amid persistent frontline escalations and diplomatic stalemates. Russian strikes on Ukrainian cities killed at least four civilians on March 28, while intensified ground offensives continued through late March per Ukrainian Commander-in-Chief Oleksandr Syrskyi's reports. Zelenskyy's Easter truce proposal was swiftly dismissed by the Kremlin, which demands territorial concessions including eastern regions—terms Kyiv rejects—following a February trilateral talks breakdown and a March "situational pause" in US-brokered negotiations. Only an extraordinary, unverified retroactive agreement or redefinition of terms could alter resolution, though none has emerged.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between Russia and Ukraine by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Only ceasefires which constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify. Ceasefires which only apply to energy infrastructure, the Black Sea, or other similar agreements will not qualify.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both Russia and Ukraine; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine has been reached will suffice.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Only ceasefires which constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify. Ceasefires which only apply to energy infrastructure, the Black Sea, or other similar agreements will not qualify.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both Russia and Ukraine; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine has been reached will suffice.
Volume
$0End Date
Mar 31, 2026Market Opened
Jul 10, 2025, 12:43 PM ETResolver
0x157Ce2d67...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
With the March 31, 2026, deadline now passed without any announced Russia-Ukraine ceasefire, traders reflect near-unanimous consensus on "No" amid persistent frontline escalations and diplomatic stalemates. Russian strikes on Ukrainian cities killed at least four civilians on March 28, while intensified ground offensives continued through late March per Ukrainian Commander-in-Chief Oleksandr Syrskyi's reports. Zelenskyy's Easter truce proposal was swiftly dismissed by the Kremlin, which demands territorial concessions including eastern regions—terms Kyiv rejects—following a February trilateral talks breakdown and a March "situational pause" in US-brokered negotiations. Only an extraordinary, unverified retroactive agreement or redefinition of terms could alter resolution, though none has emerged.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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